The latest data show that two small changes in winter storm forecasts. The storm at the start of the storm is getting closer, monitoring the winter storm has been redefined for most of the Lower Michigan.
Winter storm surveillance is generally issued when a storm system is one to two days after the start. This long delivery time is used to help you prepare if you have to make travel or work changes. Finally, as the storm is getting closer, the winter storm turns to a winter storm warning or a winter weather opinion.
Last revision (3:26 p.m. Tuesday) of the winter storm Look for most winter weather reviews in purple. There is still a waiting game with the Winter Storm watch in Blue for Le Pouce, the County of Oakland, the county of Macomb and the northeast coast.Noaa
Due to the data of the model at the end of the morning being a lighter inch on snow, most of the winter storm has been transformed into a winter meteorological opinion. There is also the thought that we are at the heart of winter in Michigan. The NWS uses six or more inches as criteria for a solid winter storm warning.
The above card shows how the large winter watch area earlier during the day was refined for winter weather opinions. A winter watch still exists for the shore of the thumb and northeast until the next series of data shows the way to the watch. There should be a certain improvement in the lake of snow totals in the shore of the thumb and northeast, perhaps putting these areas of the warning criteria of the six-inch winter storm.
It is therefore a 4 -inch 6 inch winter weather opinion for most of two thirds of the southern Lower Michigan. The most southeast corner, including Ann Arbor, Detroit and Monroe, should obtain icy rains. This will reduce the 2-inch measurable 2-inch snow in the far south-eastern Michigan.
Here is the latest full snowfall of the model which should be the most precise at this time. In fact, I just received these new model data and it goes back to a thumb in spots. The bunch of six inches is narrower, but quite a strip of Kalamazoo in Lansing with a thumb.
Total snow forecasts from the North American model (NAM) to Thursday afternoon.Noaa
Here are some notes.
Large rapids seem to be in the six-inch four-inch transitional area to the city two inch northwest of Grand Rapids. The quantities of snow also decrease in the far south-eastern Michigan due to freezing rain. The accumulation of ice should be about a tenth in thumb near Monroe, the southern side of Detroit and southeast of Ann Arbor.
Ann Arbor will also be in the six-inch transitional area north and west of Ann Arbor less than four inches south-east of Ann Arbor.
The oriental thumb will probably have quantities of snow falls spread from six to seven inches.
It is not a Mega-Snowstorm for Michigan. This is the type of snowstorm that we usually have about two to three times in an average winter in southern Michigan.
The snow should always start early Wednesday afternoon, be at its heaviest on Wednesday evening and end early Thursday morning.
Continue to monitor more updates here.
