Why Gennaro chose the Bills: Because I’m crazy. At least according to a banal quote often wrongly attributed to Albert Einstein: The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Kansas City keeps doing the same thing over and over again, and here I expect a different result.
Playing in their seventh straight AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs are looking at a fifth Super Bowl appearance in six seasons. In the last 13 months, Kansas City’s starters have lost one game. Of course, this one setback occurred against these bills. The Chiefs’ mid-November loss in Buffalo wasn’t surprising either, given that the Bills were favored going into the game. Not to mention, the win improved Josh Allen’s regular season record against Patrick Mahomes to 4-1. But it’s a different story in the playoffs, where Mahomes is a perfect 3-0 in QB duels. So what makes me believe Allen is finally going to kill his tormentor-in-chief in the playoffs? Well, speaking of crazy…
I think the Bills can outperform the Chiefs.
Unlike Andy Reid’s early teams with Mahomes under center, the contemporary Chiefs don’t overwhelm their opponents with shock and awe. These days, Kansas City is more boring and efficient, as Mahomes himself pointed out after last Saturday’s 23-14 victory over Houston: “Everybody’s a winner on this team, and I think that’s what makes us special So it’s not always necessary “An offensive explosion, it doesn’t always have to be the defense blocking it – it’s just who can find a way to win and how. can we achieve this?” These Chiefs want to establish the running, taking care of the football and making spectacular plays on defense The Bills can do that – but better! Buffalo finished the regular season with the ninth-best rushing offense in the NFL (131.2 yards per game), while. that Kansas City ranked 22nd (105.3 yards per game). The Bills committed the fewest turnovers in the league (eight); the Chiefs tied for fourth most defensively (14). exactly the same sack total (39), but Buffalo produced a dozen more takeaways (32-20).
I know what you’re thinking: Kansas City has the ultimate ace in the ultimate winner. That’s right. Mahomes’ ability to change shape — and play the style necessary to win a given game — is the kind of quarterback mastery that generally separates him from other elites at the position. But this season, it appears that Buffalo’s signal-caller is closing that gap. Gone are the days of the superfluous hero ball of No. 17. Shoot, the Bills just beat a dynamic Ravens team with Allen totaling 147 yards of offense. This version of Allen doesn’t force things, having reduced his interception total from a career-high 18 last season to a career-low six this campaign. This version of Allen, like Mahomes, lets the game come to him.
Now, Buffalo has been better at home than on the road this season, so you can’t ignore the challenge of winning in the hostile confines of Arrowhead Stadium. As you can gather from my predicted score above, I’m not here to tell you this is going to be easy. But neither is winning a ninth straight playoff game. That’s the task facing Kansas City in its quest for an unprecedented Super Bowl three-peat. Call me crazy, but I say the leaders are failing to achieve this goal.
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