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Why the stronger yuan could prompt the People’s Bank of China to cut rates

An article via Reuters in brief:

  • China doesn’t appear ready to cut rates, given surprisingly strong first quarter growth data
  • China appears reluctant to cut rates before the Fed
  • The yuan has been rising steadily since mid-March, its trade-weighted index hitting its highest level since October 2022, but it is simply not rising against a very strong dollar.

Reuters concludes:

  • If Beijing can come to terms with the strong U.S. dollar, it could ease monetary policy to prioritize economic support.
  • The yuan could even emerge stronger following the ensuing rally in Chinese risk assets.

CNY CFETS Index (Reuters chart):

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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