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Washington Area Forecast: Snow flurries could slow commute this morning

* Winter Weather Advisories issued for northern Fauquier, Loudoun, northern Montgomery, Howard, Frederick and Carroll counties from 3 a.m. to 1 p.m. Tuesday | School delays and closures *

A somewhat subjective assessment of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

5/10: Sloppy snowflakes shake the scene; some say it’s nice, others are mean.

  • Today: Rain turns to snow this morning, then clears up, windy. Peaks: almost 45.
  • This evening: Generally clear, windy. Lowest: 26-34.
  • Tomorrow: Sunny, windy. Highs: 42-48.

A departing storm is expected to dump some wet snow on us this morning before moving on again this afternoon and leaving plenty of wind behind. The rest of the week is relatively calm with a warming trend on Thursday and Friday before a risk of light precipitation on Saturday. Seasonal good weather returns for Sunday and Presidents Day.

Today (Tuesday): Early morning rain is expected to gradually mix with wet snow and transition to wet snow from northwest to southeast across the area before ending between 10 a.m. and midday. Snow could briefly fall heavily between 8:00 a.m. and 10:00 a.m., reducing visibility and possibly causing muddy roads, especially in colder parts of the region. The accumulation, mainly on grassy areas, is likely to range from an inch or two in our northernmost and westernmost suburbs to a wet layer around the district and to the south. Skies are clear and it becomes windy in the afternoon, but highs climbing into the 40s should quickly clear away any sticking snow. Gusty winds also help dry us out as they blow from the northwest at speeds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts reaching 30 to 40 mph. Confidence: average

This evening: Clear, colder and still windy with lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts as high as 25 mph at times. Trust: high

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Tomorrow (Wednesday): Sunny and still windy with highs into the 40s. Winds are still blowing from the northwest between 10-15 mph with a few gusts up to 20-25. Trust: high

Tomorrow evening: Mostly clear with lows in the mid 20s to 30s with lighter winds. Trust: high

THURSDAY should start on the sunnier side, but then clouds increase during the day as highs bounce back into the milder upper 40s to mid 50s. Partly cloudy Thursday night with lows in the low 30s. Confidence: medium-high

Friday partly returns to mostly sunny skies with highs reaching the mid 40s to near 50 again. Friday night will be mostly cloudy with lows in the 20s to 30s. Confidence: Average

The beginning of holiday weekend is tricky as a weak weather system passes through. Saturday is cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers possible. No significant accumulation is expected. Highs are expected to reach the 40s. Saturday night could still see some rain or snow showers under partly to partly cloudy skies, with lows ranging from the 20s to mid 30s. Sunday and Monday , Presidents’ Day, the weather is generally sunny with maximum temperatures between 40 and 50 degrees. Sunday evening is clear with lows in the 20s to 30s. Confidence: Low-Medium

A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow next week, on a scale of 0 to 10.

3/10 (↑): If precipitation is heavy enough, we could sneak a few inches of slush into our colder areas this morning; chances of snow after that look pretty low.

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