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Walker narrowly defeats Warnock; Kemp Widens leads over Abrams

Republicans in Georgia’s top midterm races have an edge over their Democratic opponents, according to a poll released Tuesday.

The survey, conducted by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution and University of Georgia Survey Research Center, found Republican Herschel Walker leading incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) by two points, 46% to 44%. Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver received three percent, and seven percent of respondents said they were undecided.

The poll is the latest to suggest Walker, a much-loved former Georgia soccer star, has gained momentum in the race, and the poll lines up with most polls since August that have shown Walker making small gains. gains on Warnock.

Warnock, who is not only down but also far from the 50% threshold needed to avoid a runoff, has reason to be concerned about the poll results.

The Georgia Democrat has dropped two points overall since the last AJC polled in July, and in a race where both candidates are black, among black voters, Warnock is down significantly from what a vulnerable incumbent Democrat typically aims to be.

Senator Raphael Warnock speaks to reporters as he leaves a Senate vote on Capitol Hill August 6, 2022 in Washington, DC. (Anna Rose Layden/Getty Images)

Warnock has 77% support from black voters to Walker’s 9%. While Walker has maintained that vote share since the July poll, Warnock’s support from black voters has dropped from the 85% he received in July.

Georgia is a top battleground where the race for the U.S. Senate is one of the few races in the country that could determine which party controls the Senate next year.

Walker campaign spokesman Will Kiley pointed out that “dark money” was hurting Warnock’s running prospects in a statement to Breitbart News, saying: “No amount of black money from California and New York cannot help Raphael Warnock buy the People’s Senate seat.”

“No matter what the numbers show, Herschel will continue to work harder than anyone to show the people of Georgia that they are the best choice in this race,” Kiley added.

In the swing state’s other top race, Gov. Brian Kemp (R) widened his lead by five points in the final AJC poll now has eight points on Democratic candidate Stacey Abrams.

Kemp received 50%, Abrams received 42%, and 6% of respondents said they were undecided.

Abrams’ grim results led a pro-Abrams pollster to say on social media that the AJC, Georgia’s largest newspaper, had published “bad polls.” Referring to one of Abrams’ main problems since his first gubernatorial loss in 2018, the pollster added, “It’s a lot like polling voters.”

In addition to the Senate and gubernatorial contests, the AJC noted that “Democrats are not faring any better” in other races in the lower state.

The poll was conducted September 5-16 among 861 likely general election voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3%.

Write to Ashley Oliver at Follow her on Twitter at @asholiver.

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