NFL fans have debated whether Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen should take home MVP honors this season.
Well, now the two will battle for a spot in the AFC Championship Game.
Three of the four divisional round matchups are set, and the highly anticipated Ravens-Bills matchup is the only one that oddsmakers consider a close affair based on the top lines.
Allen’s Bills opened as small home favorites, with a line ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 points Monday morning, against the Jackson Ravens, but the line has since reversed in Baltimore’s favor.
There is no line yet for the Eagles to host the winner of Monday’s neutral-site matchup between the Rams and Vikings in Glendale, Arizona.
The Chiefs and Lions have both established themselves as touchdown-and-over favorites for their respective games.
| Team | Spread | Money line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | +8 (-110) | +310 | o42 (-110) |
| Chefs | -8 (-110) | -400 | u42 (-110) |
The Texans toppled the Chargers as home favorites to advance, but bettors don’t see a competitive contest against the top-seeded Chiefs.
Kansas City, which didn’t play its starters in Week 18, will have essentially two full weeks off before facing a team it beat 27-19 at home in Week 16.
These teams totaled 46 points in this matchup, but bettors see this game controlled by defenses.
The Chiefs shut down Joe Mixon and contained Nico Collins in their victory, while Tank Dell had a solid game before suffering a season-ending injury.
| Team | Spread | Money line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +8.5 (-105) | +375 | o55.5 (-110) |
| Lions | -8.5 (-115) | -500 | u55.5 (-110) |
The Commanders escaped Tampa with a field goal victory, but they’ll have their work cut out for them against the NFC’s top seed.
That line seems a little high considering the Commanders’ penchant for playing close games, but Detroit will be rested and Washington will have a short week after playing Sunday night.
The Commanders have only lost one game by more than eight points (week 1 at the Buccaneers).
The total here is remarkable, with the 55.5 mark easily being the highest of the week.
| Team | Spread | Money line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crows | -1 (-115) | -120 | o51.5 (-110) |
| Invoices | +1 (-105) | +100 | u51.5 (-110) |
The best play on paper on the slate is the tightest line and has already seen a shift.
Baltimore moved into favorite status early Monday afternoon, with the line moving up two points.
This line is close enough to choose their status and be able to reverse again.
While Jackson and his team beat the Bills, 35-10, at home in Week 4, this game takes place months later and in Buffalo.
A big question surrounding this game will be the status of Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers, who missed the Wild Card win over the Steelers due to an injury he suffered in Week 18.
Jackson and Allen both played very well in their first round wins and while this is basic analysis, this matchup could simply be decided by which star has the better game.
Editor’s note: The story has been updated to reflect the change in the Ravens-Bills game, with the line moving from Bills as favorites to Ravens as favorites early Monday afternoon.
Matt Ehalt has been fighting the spread since his childhood when he entered his father’s newspaper pool and even won first prize several times. He specializes in betting on the NFL and does quite well in the NCAA brackets.
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