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Unitedhealth is dropped, why this asset manager says that the insurer is no longer a safe bet

remon Buul by remon Buul
May 21, 2025
in Business
0
Unitedhealth is dropped, why this asset manager says that the insurer is no longer a safe bet

Unitedhealth Group Inc(NYSE: Unh) recent nosedive was not only a graphic model – it was a circuit breaker of conviction.

Tom HulickCEO of Strategy Asset Managers, did not wait for a rebound. He threw the stock, citing “a deterioration of fundamentals” in exclusive information shared with Benizinga by e-mail.

Unitedhealth’s shares are down more than 42% for the start of the year, more than 31% in the last month.

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The exit of the active manager of Unitedhealth Stock followed a series of punches for Unitedhealth: an unexpected resignation of the CEO, the withdrawal of the directives of the 2025 financial year, and what Hulick described as “rare revision of results and the downward revisions of EPs”. But the real red flag?

A company that was still looking forward to suddenly ceased to do so. “When a perennial component ceases to provide advice before and a leading turnover coincides with the shift in performance, it is a signal to be careful.”

And Hulick’s attention is now on a brewing storm in Medicare Advantage. Once the engine is taking advantage of Unitedhealth now shows signs of professional exhaustion. “The increase in use, stricter reimbursement and structural adjustments related to the transition from the CMS risk model” have created a perfect storm, said Hulick, adding that “compression of margins on a scale that cannot be resolved with typical cost controls” could cause slower growth or even warming.

The wider image is not much more pink for the managed care sector. With the regulators that turn and the climbing of medical loss ratios, Hulick says that the main business model loses its brightness. “The advantage seems to be capped in relation to previous cycles,” he said, noting a change in the balance of defensive growth which “is not necessarily in favor of operators”.

See also: Nancy Pelosi has invested $ 5 million in an AI company last year – here is how you can invest in several pre -time startups with only $ 1,000.

So where does the manager of $ 700 million put his chips? Hulick goes on science for a long time. “We are investing in innovation -oriented segments that offer an idiosyncratic increase and are not attached to the dynamics of reimbursement.”

This includes biotechnology at an early stage, gene edition and longevity games – as well as global insurance companies Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (NYSE: AJG), which, according to Hulick, has “demonstrated sustainable growth, pricing power and operating in areas less exposed to volatility that we see in American health insurance”.

UNH can be the canary of managed coal mine. While Hulick sees “the increase in costs, regulatory friction and deterioration of visibility” in the sector, he distinguishes Unitedhealth as a “unique exposed” given his size, complexity and “the challenges of integration, in particular with Optum”.

The company has left Unitedhealth on three equity strategies, but retains obligations that ripen in 2026 – a place where Hulick still sees force. “A + rating and balance sheet resistance remain intact.”

But in actions, the message is clear: “The emphasis is now put on innovation, not on the holder.”

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Image: Shutterstock

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