When former President Donald Trump accepts Republican nomination On Thursday night, he will do so with his largest national lead over President Biden in the campaign So far.
A slight majority, including some who are not voting for him, believe that Trump’s remarks in the days following the assassination attempt were more unifying than divisive. Voters feel the same way about Mr. Biden’s response to tragic events too.
But it’s Trump with the growing advantage Trump now has a five-point lead nationally and a three-point lead in key swing states. To put that national lead in context: It’s been 20 years since a Republican presidential candidate won the national popular vote, and more than 30 years since a Republican won by more than a five-point margin.
The race across the battlegrounds moved one more point in Trump’s favor today since we studied the battlegrounds last week.
For voters, the perception of Trump’s handling of the assassination attempt is a positive reason to consider voting for him, but the effect is small overall; for two-thirds of them, it did not change their consideration calculus one way or the other.
Among the candidates leading the party lists, Trump is the one voters say is fighting “a lot” for people like them.
In the Democratic nomination debate, Trump is also ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical matchup. There are marginal differences at best in how she and Mr. Biden are currently performing among demographic groups, such as young voters and voters of color.
A substantial portion of his party still believes Mr. Biden should withdraw as a candidate, and Democrats continue to lag behind Republicans in their expressed likelihood of running for reelection this year.
There is a bipartisan view — though particularly among Republicans — that the U.S. Secret Service could have done more to prevent the attack. filming SATURDAY.
Mr Biden has also responded to the events, and most Americans also believe he has encouraged unity, including a third of Trump voters.
Still, eight in ten voters believe that civility in American politics has deteriorated in recent years, and most expect political violence to increase in the future.
JD Vance
The arrival of Senator JD Vance on the Republican ticket is perceived positively by Republican voters: most are at least satisfied and half are enthusiastic about this choice. This is particularly true within the MAGA wing of the party.
This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted among a nationally representative sample of 2,247 registered voters surveyed between July 16 and 18, 2024. The sample was weighted by gender, age, race, and education level, based on the U.S. Census’ American Community Survey and American Population Survey, as well as past voting. Respondents were selected to be representative of registered voters nationally. The margin of error for registered voters is ±2.7 percentage points. The battlegrounds are AZ GA MI NC NV PA WI.
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