France

The RN is normalizing, its ideas too – France

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For 40% of French people, the RN is now a government party, according to the annual RN image barometer produced by Kantar Public – Epoka for franceinfo and Le Monde, unveiled on Tuesday, December 13. They were 34% to think so in January 2022 and only 28% in February 2019, an increase of twelve points in less than four years.

It is on the right that this feeling is progressing the most: the majority (51%) of Les Républicains sympathizers share this opinion, an increase of 19 points compared to January 2022.

The “republican front” is falling apart

Support for the ideas put forward by the RN is growing: 31% of respondents say they are in total agreement with them, compared to 24% in February 2018. The proportion of French people who consider that the RN represents “a danger to democracy” continues to drop: 46% in December 2022, compared to 58% in February 2017. More than four out of ten French people also consider that the National Rally has become “moderate” in recent years, particularly compared to the era of the National Front.

“The credibility of the RN makes its deputies potential allies in the National Assembly”, analyzes the research firm Kantar Public. Consequence: the “republican front” seems to be falling apart. The share of French people who are considering a case-by-case alliance between Les Républicains and the National Rally is progressing. 40% of LR supporters want alliances of circumstances between LR and the RN, and 8% consider that the two parties should make a global electoral alliance. Ditto on the left: 56% of Nupes supporters consider that the deputies of the coalition should vote with those of the RN, if they present a text with which they agree.

“A danger to democracy” for 54% of respondents

This survey nevertheless reveals two negative points for the far-right party: on the one hand, if Marine Le Pen’s personal image is also improving (57% of French people think she is “capable of making decisions” and 27% consider that she would make a good President of the Republic), 54% of French people still believe that she represents “a danger to democracy” and 36% see her as “the representative of a nationalist and xenophobic extreme right (they were 40% in January 2022).

In addition, the image of RN deputies remains divisive: 39% of respondents believe that they make “xenophobic or racist remarks”.

Kantar Public – Epoka survey for franceinfo and Le Monde, conducted face-to-face, from November 29 to December 6, with a sample of 1,014 people, representative of the population aged 18 and over.



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