It was a big week for baseball in California. After the paadres swept the giants and the angels swept the Dodgers, a new leader was held at the top of the NL West. The Padres had claimed the only possession of first, while the Dodgers slipped in second position, to a San Diego match. The dimensions of the playoffs will tell you that the Dodgers remain the favorites, but they lose momentum. According to Fangraphs, the Dodgers had an 83.8% chance of winning their division on the day of opening, while the ratings of the padres were only 3.8%. Recently three weeks ago, the ratings of the reached 96.6%, while San Diego was seated at 1.5%. However, the Padres have since won 14 of their last 18 games, while the Dodgers have 8-10 in the same period. As a result, the Fangraphs now have the Los Angeles ratings just below two thirds (63.8%) and San Diego just above a third (36.1%). You can think about it in this way: these chances mean that the paadres are now also likely to win the NL West as the White SOX (percentage of victories .364) must win every day. It is still unlikely, but it is more than possible. The White Sox, as bad as they are, have always won 44 games.
This big baseball week in California will continue on weekends, while the Dodgers welcome the Padres for a three-game set in Chavez Ravine. With a serial victory, the Dodgers would get the Tie Breaker of the season series, which could prove to be critical in a tight division race. A sweep would again give them the unique possession of first place. Conversely, for the Padres, a serial victory would keep their chances of winning the equality break in life, while a sweeping would give them a four -game cushion on their rivals. With an advance of four games, the Padres would control their own destiny for the 38 games remaining in the regular season; They only have three others against dodgers after this weekend.
Dodgers are aligned to send Clayton Kershaw,, Blake SnellAnd Tyler Glasnow at the mound. While the team continues to prey injury – more recently Tanner Scott,, Kirby Yates,, Hyeseong Kim,, Tommy EdmanAnd Brock Stewart – the starting rotation is much stronger with Kershaw, Snell and Glasnow, as well as Emmet Sheehan And Shohei OhtaniAll healthy at the same time, alongside 2025 All-Star Yoshinobu yamamoto. While the dodgers have seen their dimensions in the eliminatory series fall in the last three weeks, their starting rotation leads the majors of the rate of withdrawal and Siera at that time. They also rank second in ball and xera and third ball at FWAR. All this to say, the beginners of the Dodgers, if they remain in good health, will be a force for this team in the section.
As for the paadres, their pitching plans for the weekend have become more complicated when Michael King was scratched with a knee inflammation, returning to the IL after a single departure. He had just returned from a chest nerve problem that prevented him for more than two months. The rotation of San Diego, more than ever, has a lot of late interrogation points Dylan stops And Nick Pivetta. Yu darvish was incoherent since he made his debut of the season in July; The former Ace is almost 39 years old and has failed a lot of time with injuries in recent years. Acquisition of the deadline Nestor Cortes Has only two departures since his return from a four -month visit, and he has not yet left the fifth round. It is difficult to know what the paadres can also expect from him. Recently recalled Randy Vásquez is an excellent backup plan for King – it is a sixth starter much more established than most teams cannot boast – but its 5.98 Xera and 5.85 Siera are huge red flags underlying its 3.93 MPM in 22 departures this season.
Fortunately, for the Padres, they have the best enclosure of the league lifts by saving their departure staff. The president of baseball operations AJ Preller has strengthened a group that already included Robert Suarez,, Adrian Morejon,, Jason AdamAnd Jeremiah Estrada with flame thrower Mason Miller In a successful deadline. The Padres enclosure leads the majors with 37 wins, 40 stops, an MPM of 2.97 and 6.7 FWAR, and keep in mind, Miller has been part for a few weeks. As for the dodgers, they could have a large enclosure of the lifts if he did not miss Scott, Yates, Stewart, Evan Phillips,, Michael KopechAnd Graterole Brusdar. It would be an exaggeration to call their arm barn a weakness, but you have to imagine that Dave Roberts is much less confident than Mike Shildt when the time comes to get his starter out of a game.
It should also be said that Miller and Cortes were far from the only pickups from the Pré-Commerce depelce de Praler. While Andrew Friedman and the Dodgers have not added much – Stewart and the outfall Alex call were their biggest acquisitions – Preller may have won the deadline. At the very least, he won the deadline in the NL West, according to two thirds of the respondents in a recent MLBTR survey. At 5:01 p.m. on July 31, the new paadres included Miller, Cortes, Ryan O’Hearn,, Ramon Laureano,, JP Sears,, Freddy FerminAnd Will Wagner. The Dodgers were still three games on the paadres at that time, but the paadres were a whole new team, with a deeper enclosure, a stronger rotation, a better recipient and a more powerful violation against right -handers and left -handers. The decision to maintain all their key contributors who had been presented in predefined commercial rumors, in particular Center and Suarez.
Dodgers have the best odds, according to the Fangraphs and the Pecota. They also have the most racing differential, the higher fangraph war and reputation as a team to beat. After all, these are the world champions of the World Series. They have won the NL West 11 times in the past 12 seasons. Meanwhile, the Padres have not won the West for almost 20 years. They have not won a pennant since the 90s. They have never won everything. However, they are playing like the best team right now, and they have a match to prove it. The question is: can they hang on?
Will the Padres finally usurp the Dodgers in the NL West? Will the Dodgers dynasty live on another year? Or could a black horse of the division make a remarkable return? Have your word to say in the survey below!
