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Conventional wisdom has said that recent Supreme Court rulings have given the Democratic Party’s waning political fortunes a boost. “Roe’s downfall can save mid-term Democrats, at least in the suburbs,” read a Time Magazine headline, “Democrats Bet on Roe’s Voting Power,” read another from Axios.
Certainly the topic provided a conversation changer from $5 gas and runaway inflation. But don’t be so sure that these trends will continue until November. Here are five reasons.
First, the decision is the latest reminder of President Joe Biden’s status as a relic of the past. Five decades ago, a newly elected 30-year-old senator from Delaware said the Supreme Court had gone “too far” on abortion. Half a century later, as leader of the Democratic Party, soon to be 80 years old, the same man is spitting like crazy.
BIDEN IN THE FOOTSTEPS OF JIMMY CARTER
But words aren’t enough for some apparently in Biden’s camp. Progressives such as U.S. Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash, demanded “more specific actions deployed… We all knew this was coming.”
Jayapal is right. The court’s decision was telegraphed almost two months ago via the unprecedented draft decision leak. Yet it took nearly a week for the president to call for exploding the filibuster to enshrine abortion rights in law, earning him a rare nod of approval from U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, DN.Y., in the process. (Never mind that the Senate Democrats’ decision to circumvent filibuster rules a decade ago paved the way for Republicans to confirm the conservative majority on the Supreme Court — that’s a topic for another column. )
Which brings us to the second reason: the more extreme voices of the left are taking center stage – and so are their ideas. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren said the court had “lost its legitimacy” and offered abortion tents in national parks. The aforementioned AOC suggested removing the judges. Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot shouted “F— Clarence Thomas.” Even former (and future?) Democratic flag bearer Hillary Clinton chimed in announcing, “women are going to die.”
So much for Biden’s call in his inaugural speech to “turn the temperature down.”
Third, the Biden presidency is on the verge of collapse. His approval rating hit a new low of 38%, according to Real Clear Politics. At this point in their respective terms, President Barack Obama’s approval stood at 46% while President Donald Trump was at 42% – and their party received first-half bombing. Biden’s legislative agenda is hopelessly stalled. Instead, his White House is already focused on assaulting congressional probes in the likely event of a GOP Congress.
Worse still, silent whispers about Biden’s ability to run for re-election have snowballed into open conversation among leading Democrats. Both Clinton and Ocasio-Cortez face questions about their 2024 plans. Vice President Kamala Harris’ statement that Biden is ‘running for re-election, and I’ll be his slate mate’ didn’t do much -something to silence the skeptics.
The speculation left the Biden team understandably “irritated”, according to The New York Times. After all, he was elected with the most votes less than two years ago.
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Everything has gone downhill since then, for Biden and for the country, which brings us to the fourth reason.
As Independence Day approaches, America is in a rut. An associated press A survey showed that 85% of adults think the country is headed in the wrong direction, and it’s easy to see why. Anyone planning to travel for the holiday weekend faces a choice between widespread flight delays and cancellations, soaring prices and shortages of rental cars, and the highest gasoline prices in the world. history of our country – prices that American consumers will face “for as long as it takes.” according to Biden. Even the average cost of a barbecue has increased by 17% compared to last year.
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The fifth and final factor: The Biden presidency hasn’t been a boon to the economy (or frankly much of anything), but it has been a boost to GOP voter registration numbers. New data from the Associated Press showed that more than one million voters in 43 states switched to the Republican Party. The American public votes with their feet, and long before election season. Democrats are giving back all the gains they made during the Trump years.
The Supreme Court is now in recess until October, and the dust will begin to settle from the recent series of rulings. When it does, the Democratic Party will be heading into a daunting midterm landscape led by a president who has lost more than a few miles an hour on his fastball. The dice have been cast, and now the party in charge only has to prepare for the impact.
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