Special elections to make voters’ verdict in the first chaotic months of Trump | Trump administration

Tuesday, several elections will be a crucial test of the popularity of the first two chaotic and extremists of the second term of Donald Trump and the influence of his close ally, Elon Musk, the richest man in the world who was responsible for radically reforming the American federal government.

They could also offer a glimmer of hope to the Democrats – you fresh a surprise victory in upheaval in a local race in Pennsylvania last week – that their divided political party could see a resurgence in its fortune. Or, if they fail to attract the Republicans more, it will be another sign that the party is intended for a long period in the desert in the middle of the historic stockings of its popularity in recent polls.

Many eyes are concentrated on two seats in the congress previously detained in Florida, where its sixth and first districts of the congress are vacant and to be won. Mike Waltz left to hold a cabinet position for Trump and Matt Gaetz resigned to continue a failed offer to become a attorney general.

The Republicans of the Chamber are currently holding a thin majority like the Democrats, 218 to 213, with four vacant seats, in the Lower Chamber of the Congress. The republican nerves of the way the room could become tightened last week after Trump took the appointment of New York MP, Elise Stefanik, as United Nations Ambassador – a decision widely considered to be admitted that Marginal Republican districts are likely to be lost.

It is the former district of Waltz, the besieged national security adviser from Trump, who is most at risk. The senator from the Randy Fine state has lagged behind his democratic opponent, Josh Weil, in the collection of funds in the midst of the concerns that he could lose the district – although such a defeat is far from certain.

Last week, Trump held a Télé-Mally for a fine, addressing voters by phone. “Randy will always have a very open door to the oval office. He will be there every time I need him, and he wants to be there every time we need him. He wants to be there for you,” said the president.

The other district is considered a less risk. Florida financial director Jimmy Patronis offers the Gaetz headquarters to take charge, Trump organizing a similar rally for the Republican candidate. “The 1st Congress district is special, and I have gained it by many, and Jimmy will win it by many,” said Trump.

The opponent of patronis is Gay Valimont, an activist for the prevention of armed violence.

The other vacant house seats are in Texas, where the Republican Governor Greg Abbott does not seem in a hurry to call a special election to replace the deceased Democrat Sylvester Turner; And in Arizona, where Democrat Raul Grijalva died two weeks ago.

The Democrats were raised by the unexpected capture last week of a republican siege of the State Senate in Pennsylvania. There, candidate James Malone triumphed in the 36th senatorial district, who voted for Trump against Kamala Harris of more than 15 points in the presidential election last November.

“It was not until March, and the Democrats again challenged the chances with another victory upset in the republican territory,” said Heather Williams, president of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, in a statement after the victory.

Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, Musk’s political influence will be tested Tuesday in a crucial race for a seat at the Supreme Court of the State, where the Liberals defend a majority of 4-3.

The billionaire actively supported Republican Brad Schimel, both vocally and financially, funding advertisements against his opponent Susan Crawford and spending around $ 10 million on the race through a political action committee. Schimel also has the support of Trump.

The ideological balance of the Court is considered to be crucial with the main cases on abortion, the rights of the unions, the law of the elections and the redistribution of the Congress already under study, or which should be argued soon.

Crawford, who has a close advantage of survey, told supporters this month: “Elon Musk is trying to buy a seat at our Supreme Court so that Brad Schimel can stadium his extreme program.”

Democrats also spent freely on the Wisconsin race, or $ 32 million at $ 41 million in Schimel, including considerable donations from Liberal philanthropic George Soros and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker.

Nationally, however, the Democrats continue to combat the historically unfavorable notes since Harris’ defeat in November, the party torn by intestine struggles for a failure perceived by leadership to resist the extremism of Trump.

A CNN poll earlier this month only revealed 29% of respondents, a hollow of all time during the more than three decades of the survey, saw the party favorably. Meanwhile, 57% said they wanted the Democrats to oppose the republican agenda rather than work with the majority to adopt legislation that included democratic ideas and priorities.

The survey was taken before 10 Democratic senators, including the chief of the minority Chuck Schumer, joined the Republicans to adopt a bill for spending this month which avoided a closure of the government.