A new poll in Michigan shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump tied in the key state, just over 100 days before Election Day.
According to the Detroit News-WDIV-TV poll conducted after Biden dropped out of the presidential race and Harris joined, Harris and Trump are tied at 41% each among likely general election voters.
The poll also found that the candidate of another party, Robert Kennedy Jr., who is running in the state under the banner of the Natural Law Party, has the support of 10% of likely voters. Six percent of voters are undecided.
Zooming in a little more, Harris is slightly ahead of Trump by a third of a percentage point, but that’s still well within the margin of error.
The new poll suggests that the state of the Michigan race, which is seen as critical to Democrats winning in November, has seen a dramatic shift from when Biden was still a candidate.
New Michigan poll shows Harris and Trump tied at 41% each in key state
A similar poll conducted by the group in Michigan six months ago found Biden trailing Trump by eight points in a head-to-head contest in the state: 47% to 39%, with 3% of likely voters undecided.
According to the poll released Thursday, Kennedy leads among independent voters, but with a barely even split between those who are “lean Republican” and those who are “lean Democrat.”
He is estimated at 27 percent, Harris at 26 percent and Trump at 25 percent among independents, but nearly 18 percent of independents remain undecided.
Independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. won 10 percent of the vote in Michigan, earning an even split between Democratic-leaning and Republican-leaning independent voters.
Trump won the state in 2016, but Biden managed to flip it blue again in 2020 by just over 150,000 votes more than the former president. Both Democrats and Republicans campaigned hard in the swing state through November.
The poll comes just days after Donald Trump held his first rally in Michigan after formally accepting the Republican nomination for president at the Milwaukee convention.
His rally in Grand Rapids was also his first with running mate J.D. Vance, whom he announced at the last minute at the convention.
The Ohio senator’s pick was seen as a move that could help the former president with Rust Belt voters, but the conservative leanings and anti-abortion stance of the Republican vice presidential candidates could be a problem, particularly among women in Michigan, where abortion rights were the most important issue in the 2022 midterm elections.
Trump with his running mate, Sen. J.D. Vance, at their rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on July 20
Meanwhile, Harris has yet to decide who will be her running mate as the deadline approaches, with Democratic delegates having until August 7 to formally nominate candidates to lead their ticket.
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer has been mentioned as a potential vice presidential choice.
While the governor has endorsed Harris for president and pledged to help her get elected, Whitmer said in an interview this week that she is committed to completing her second term in the state after winning re-election in the 2022 midterm elections.
Vice President Harris arrives at a campaign event in Kalamazoo, Michigan, on July 17
President Biden held a rally in Detroit just over a week before dropping out of the presidential race. Harris stopped in Kalamazoo just over a week ago when she was still the presumptive vice presidential nominee.
Although Whitmer has already promoted Harris in the state, the vice president has not yet set a date for his return to Michigan as the presumptive presidential nominee.
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