With the return of the Champions League this week, the OPTA supercomputer revealed which of the eight teams remaining is most likely to go to the end, after the Liverpool favorites were eliminated in the last round.
The Arne Slot team had been on the right track for a hat-trick a short time ago, only to lose the Carabao Cup final against Newcastle and undergo a penalty rifle defeat against Paris Saint-Germain in the round of 16.
Before this week’s quarter -final, we meet with eight teams after 28 teams were eliminated during the campaign: Arsenal, Aston Villa, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Inter Milan, PSG and Real Madrid.
The Reds had finished as champions in 23.9% of opta simulations of the Champions League, but their exit left a vacancy at the top of the planned order.
This vacuum has now been filled, however, with the Catalan giants, Barcelona now judged that the most likely team wins the competition, going in 23.1% of the simulations.
The supercomputer calculations are carried out using a combination of Paris Cotes and Opta feeding classification, which in turn derives recent and historical team performance in the competition.
Barcelona – Fueled by Raphinha and Lamine Yamal – are considered to be the favorites this term
The side of Mikel Arteta faces a huge test in the form of Real Madrid in the quarter -finals on Tuesday
Los Blancos has historically dominated competition and are current holders
The Blaugrana also reached the semi -finals in 78.2% of simulations – a disturbing omen for opponents on Wednesday evening – and the 44.3% final.
Second from the list, the recently crowned Ligue 1 champions are recently crowned in Ligue 1, with a probability of 19.3% to win the competition, and a predicted chance of just as comfortable to beat Aston Villa in the quarters, evaluated at 71.3%.
Despite the most successful drawing in the history of competition in Real Madrid, Arsenal is the third most likely to win the Champions League.
The Mikel Arteta team receives 15.6% of success, but it is interesting to note that 50.2% chance of beating Los Blancos in the last eight.
They are just ahead of the 13.8% of Inter Milan to add a fourth title of the Champions League, with the leaders of Serie supported to beat Bayern Munich in 51.5% of the simulations in another tight draw.
Real Madrid may be a fifth surprise in the competition they have historically made the child’s victory game.
Although they are actually just as likely to beat Arsenal as to lose according to simulations (48.2% chance of progression), they only received 12.2% of triumph at the Allianz arena on May 31.
Bayern Munich is in sixth grade, the last of the real contenders for the title, with the team of Vincent Kompany giving a chance of 10.8% and does only to undo the neighborhoods against Inter.
| Half-Lieu | Final | Winner | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 78.20% | 44.30% | 23.10% |
| PSG | 71.30% | 36.20% | 19.30% |
| Arsenal | 50.20% | 29.50% | 15.60% |
| Between | 51.50% | 27.80% | 13.80% |
| real Madrid | 49.80% | 25.20% | 12.20% |
| Bayern Munich | 48.50% | 22.80% | 10.80% |
| Aston Villa | 28.70% | 9.10% | 3.70% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 21.80% | 5.20% | 1.50% |
The opportune return of Bukayo Saka of the injury could prove the difference for Arsenal against the real
PSG is the second most likely team to win the competition according to the supercomputer
Inter Milan is fourth, behind Arsenal, with the objectives of Captain Lautaro Martinez to their hopes
Bayern Munich is one of the giants of Europe, but has only 10.8% of success
Aston Villa is the second probable team to win the Champions League according to OPTA
But Aston Villa almost avoided dishonor to be at the bottom of the battery, their 3.7% probability of winning the tournament even higher than 1.5% of Borussia Dortmund.
Both parties have difficult prints. Villa A of PSG, before a potential semi-final with Arsenal or Real Madrid, while Dortmund would be confronted with the winner of Bayern vs Inter if they could find a way to pass the favorites of Barcelona.
However, Dortmund will indicate the fact that they were largely outside the contenders for a large part of last season’s competition, but still found their way to Wembley’s centerpiece.
The villa has 28.7% chance of beating PSG and only a probability of 9.1% to make the final, which ends up 21.8% and 5.2% of Dortmund respectively.