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Prisco’s Week 17 NFL picks: Ravens edge Dolphins in game of the week; Cowboys bounce back against Lions

Early Sunday, it looked so promising for my choices. At one point I was sweeping all six games, which made me believe I was destined to have a good week.

Then I put coal in my stocking.

Some games went lousy, and everything went wrong from there. I ended up 6-10 ATS and 10-6 straight, neither of which is too impressive. This brings my ATS record to 116-113-11 and my direct record to 146-94.

There are two weeks left until the playoffs to sort out all my problems. Like the teams, I have to improve before the start of the playoffs.

Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video)

The Browns are rolling right now and Joe Flacco is getting them closer to the playoffs. The Jets are playing the game, even though they beat the Commanders last week after blowing a big lead. The Browns defense will cause all sorts of problems for whoever plays quarterback for the Jets. The Browns continue to improve, but the Jets will stay close.

Take: Browns 22, Jets 21

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC, fubo)

The Cowboys have lost two in a row, but they are in the playoffs. The Lions won the division last week, but are playing for the top seed. Detroit plays back-to-back road games, while Dallas returns home for the first time in three weeks. Expect the Cowboys to get back on track after two losses with an impressive game on both offense and defense.

Take: Cowboys 31, Lions 23

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

This is the game of the week and could decide the AFC seed and MVP between Tua Tagovailoa and Lamar Jackson. The Ravens have knocked out a number of good teams, but that won’t be the case here. Miami will hang around in this one, but I think ultimately the Ravens defense will be the difference with a late stop.

Take: Crows 28, Dolphins 27

If you want a more analytical approach to your NFL picks, I highly suggest checking out the SportsLine Projection Model, which has been on fire this year. Check it out if you want to know which side to bet on for each game in Week 17.

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Patriots are playing back-to-back road games after beating the Broncos on Sunday night. The Bills rallied to win last week against a bad Chargers team, which will give them some focus again. Their playoff push continues as they take on the Patriots with a strong outing and prepare for Miami next week.

Take: Bills 30, Patriots 14

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Bears have come back to life in recent weeks, signaling that they are a team to watch for next season. The Falcons are still alive in the playoff race. However, it will be a difficult task against a team that plays freely. Look for Justin Fields to outplay Taylor Heinicke to win it.

Take: Bears 25, Hawks 19

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Titans could have Will Levis back for this one, while the Texans will also have CJ Stroud back. This would pit the two rookie quarterbacks against each other for the first time. The Texans beat the Titans two weeks ago with Case Keenum at quarterback. It was tight. This will also be the case no matter who plays quarterback for the Titans.

Take: Texans 27, Titans 26

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Raiders are on the road for a second straight week with slim playoff chances. The Colts need it for their playoff hopes. The Raiders defense is playing at a high level as we saw against the Chiefs on Monday. I think that will continue here against Gardner Minshew as they pull off the upset.

Take: Raiders 23, Colts 15

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Jaguars have lost four straight games and looked horrible. But Carolina is not a good team, even though Bryce Young was better last week. Trevor Lawrence’s health is key here. But even if he doesn’t play, the Jaguars will win this one to stay atop the AFC South standings.

Take: Jaguars 24, Panthers 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Rams advance to the playoffs as Matt Stafford plays at a high level again. The Giants have offensive issues, but the defense will keep them in this game. Blitzing looks will slow Stafford down a bit, but the Rams will still find a way to win him.

Take: Rams 23, Giants 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Eagles haven’t looked flawless all season, but the Cardinals are playing back-to-back road games and they struggled to stop Chicago’s offense last week. Cardinals coach Jonathan Gannon comes from the Eagles, where he was defensive coordinator, so he knows them well. But I don’t think it matters. The Eagles take it, but Arizona will get its points as well.

Take: Eagles 33, Cardinals 27

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Bucs have won four in a row behind Baker Mayfield, but they have had trouble with the Saints during their recent home history, losing four of five at their home stadium. The Saints will be rested after playing last Thursday, but they didn’t play well in the loss to the Rams. I don’t think they’re changing things here. The Bucs keep rolling.

Take: Bucs 27, Saints 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The 49ers are coming off a blowout loss Monday night to the Ravens, so they’re on a long journey in a short week. It won’t matter. The 49ers will refocus as their defensive line comes up against a poor Commanders offensive line.

Take: 49ers 34, Commanders 17

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

This is a sort of elimination match for these two. The Seahawks are coming off a nice comeback win against the Titans, while the Steelers faced the Bengals in Mason Rudolph’s first start. It will be a lot tougher on the road for Rudolph, but the Steelers will stay in the game. Ultimately, I think Geno Smith will make enough plays to win late for Seattle, like he did in last week’s game.

Take: Seahawks 29, Steelers 27

Los Angeles Chargers (+5.5) vs. Denver Broncos

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Chargers showed some life last week under interim coach Giff Smith in their close loss to the Bills. The Broncos lost a game to New England that they needed to win. They’re still alive, but need to win the final two to have a chance. They will succeed, but it won’t be easy.

Take: Broncos 23, Chargers 20

Cincinnati Bengals (+7) against the Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Chiefs have some issues on offense, which they need to resolve over the next two weeks before the playoffs. The Bengals are still alive, but just barely. Cincinnati’s defense had issues with Mason Rudolph at times last week, so maybe this will be a game to get Patrick Mahomes going. I think the Chiefs win, but the Bengals stay close.

Take: Chiefs 26, Bengals 23

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)

Both teams need it to stay alive in the playoff race. The Packers are playing back-to-back road games, which is a challenge. But I think Jordan Love and the Packers passing game can have success here against a Minnesota defense that has struggled as of late. And Nick Mullens is shaky at best.

Take: Packers 30, Vikings 25

Gn En sports

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