The results of the latest Times/Siena poll track with the RealClearPolitics average of recent Texas surveys, which now has Trump 3.2 percentage points ahead of Biden.
Trump won Texas’ 38 electoral votes by 9.2 percentage points in 2016. The state has not been carried by a Democratic presidential nominee since Jimmy Carter in 1976.
The Times/Siena poll also shows that incumbent Republican Sen. John Cornyn has expanded his lead over Democrat M.J. Hegar to 10 percentage points, 48-38 percent, up from 6 points last month.
The RealClearPolitics average of Texas Senate surveys now puts Cornyn out in front of Hegar by 8.3 percentage points.
The Times/Siena poll was conducted Oct. 20-25, surveying 802 Texas likely voters with a margin of sampling error of plus-or-minus 3.8 percentage points.