Arsenal is almost guaranteed a top five while Aston Villa has only 34% chance of qualifying for the Champions League next season, according to the latest Opta statistics.
The Gunners, who collapsed from the competition with Paris Saint-Germain in the middle of the week, are seated in second position with 67 points, although 15 behind the champions already crowned Liverpool, and have 99.7% likely to qualify, according to Opta estimates.
On Sunday, they go alongside Arne Slot before facing Newcastle and Southampton and only know two points, unless a goal swing, will guarantee a top five.
There will be six English teams in the Champions League and nine in European competitions next season.
But Manchester City made his life more difficult after falling in a tireless dead end to Logly Southampton.
Pep Guardiola says her men will have to “fight until the end” and face three cup finals after losing two points.
Opta only gave Aston Villa 34.1% of the Champions League involvement next season
Pep Guardiola says that Man City has three cup finals while trying to finish in the top five
Aston Villa won a crucial 1-0 victory outside against Bournemouth thanks to Ollie Watkins
“I did not expect a difference differently from a month ago, that it is a fight until the end,” he said.
With a FA Cup final against Crystal Palace imminent, they could abandon the places in the Champions League before playing again in the League.
But the good news for City, which has a relatively strong goal difference for their rivals, is that Opta recorded them as having 91.3% qualification for the competition.
Meanwhile, Villa received a derisory of 34.1%, the lowest of the six teams fighting for the last four places.
The UAI Emery team is currently level with Newcastle and Chelsea on 63 points, but has played one more match and has a considerably worse goal difference.
They welcome Tottenham before going to Manchester United – two sides which aim for the glory of the Europa League rather than in domestic success.
And former midfielder Lee Hendrie thinks that their favorable list of matches could see Villa Pip their rivals.
Speaking on Sky Sports, Hendrie, who spent 13 years at Villa Park, said: “ I think the other thing you need to take into consideration is this Spurs and Manchester United game for Villa – What are they playing?
The forest sits in seventh place with matches against Leicester, West Ham and Chelsea remaining
Chelsea will face Real Betis in the final of the Europa conference league after defeating Djurgårdens
Newcastle has 69.3% chance of qualifying for the Champions League called Opta
“There is nothing else for which they can play. So, do they play, you know, a team partly where, you know, they only keep – the two managers keeping players in shape for the final?
“I think this is the other thing you need to look at from a point of view of the villa. Obviously, I still have my villa cap, but, you know, I think that is why I think the villa is really in a key position.
Villa, which has been eliminated from the Champions League by the PSG finalists, can record a maximum of 69 points this season.
Questioned by Jamie Redknapp if they could reach this count, Hendrie replied: “I think yes. I think that, personally, the shape of the house was brilliant at Villa Park. It will be – I said – I said – three cup finals and it starts on Friday against the Spurs, then I think they go to Manchester United and take the three points.
Redknapp added: “And obviously, Tottenham and Manchester United with a huge final of the Europa League Cup, their priority is there.
“And especially with other teams that withdraw from each other, it seems that they give themselves a real chance, and they must just make sure they take care of the points at home.”
Chelsea has 67.9% chance of obtaining a place in the Champions League. They have a difficult race against Newcastle, Manchester United and Nottingham Forest.
A return to European elite competition would be a step in the right direction in the first season of Enzo Maresca, the Blues currently competing for the conference League.
Arsenal was dropped from the Champions League by PSG but are assured of a top five
Chelsa has 67.9% like to qualify for the Champions League next season
Arsenal will spend a fifth straight season without silverware after losing against PSG in the middle of the week
They play Real Betis in the final on May 28, while they are looking to become the first club to win the three European competitions.
It could have been so much better for Chelsea, who was only four points behind Liverpool leaders at Christmas.
Newcastle welcomes Chelsea on Sunday before a trip to the Emirates. They play Everton by David Moyes on the last day. They have 69.3% chance of qualification in the Champions League according to OPTA.
While Forest, who has not played in competition since they were reigning champions in 1980, are classified at 37.7%.
They face Leicester in an East Midlands derby before matches against West Ham and Chelsea.
