Skip to content
NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks Week 6: Expert Advice on Favorites, Upsets to Consider in Trust Pools, Office Pools

Maybe it’s because of the wave of upheaval this season, but several underdogs are getting too much respect in the NFL selection pools this week. Several home favorites are chosen by less than 50% of entries, while a neutral field favorite also receives a surprising lack of love. Finding value is essential when making choices with confidence and in office pools, and the experts at TeamRankings can help you do that with their strategic advice for your NFL Week 6 picks.

Picks that are underestimated by the public can generate weekly payouts that make the difference between winning and losing an NFL pool throughout the season, while smart picks can result in success in weekly pools. TeamRankings is the only site that offers personalized picks that maximize your advantage in NFL selection pools. Check out TeamRankings football selections, NFL survivor selections and NFL betting selections. For a limited time, you can also get a three-day free trial of all of their premium soccer picks.

FREE TRIAL: Survivor Pick Them, TeamRankings Betting Choices

Week 6 NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks: Tips, Strategy

How We Identify NFL Week 6 Value Picks

This article is written Wednesday, but if the winning odds and pick popularity numbers hold up, the teams below all come up with compelling risk / reward tradeoffs to differentiate your Week 6 picks from your pool opponents.

It’s important to note that we’re not necessarily saying you should do all of those choices. In particular, some thwarted choices may be unnecessarily risky for your pool, even if they are technically undervalued. You need to take an overall level of risk with your choices that suits the size and rules of your pool. All-season pools generally require more conservative choices than single-week pools. If you want our game-by-game selection recommendations for everyone your specific pools, use our Football Pick ’em Picks product.

To note: The winning odds and estimated popularity data below may change between publish time and kick off time. If you want the latest numbers, our product is updated several times a day.

Baltimore Ravens vs. LA Chargers

Point spread: -3.0
Choose popularity: 46%
Category: Favorite Value

The Chargers are on the rise and the public chooses them a little more often than the favorite Ravens. That means it pays to stick with Baltimore here, as the ideal selection situation is to get the preferred team when more than half of the entries are in front of you.

quarterback | Back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D / ST | Kicker

Cleveland Browns vs. Arizona Cardinals

Point spread: -2.5
Choose popularity: 45%
Category: Favorite Value

The same reasoning applies here, as the Browns are favored but more managers are going with the Cardinals right now. It’s no surprise that the majority are on the undefeated Cardinals, but the only difference between these teams is close game luck.

The Cardinals just beat the 49ers by a touchdown in a game where they got four different saves on the fourth down. They also beat Minnesota in Week 2 when the Vikings missed a very achievable winning field goal attempt. Meanwhile, the Browns just lost a big blow to the Chargers on Sunday. They also lost to the Chiefs in Week 1 despite their lead for most of the game.

MORE TEAM RANKINGS: Tips on the Week 6 NFL Survivor Pool

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas

Point spread: -3.5
Choose popularity: 65%
Category: Favorite Value

There aren’t that many people with the underdogs Raiders in this one, but enough to keep Denver as a game of value.

Denver has struggled the past two weeks after a 3-0 start, but so have Las Vegas. The Raiders will also now be without the head coach who called their offense, increasing their downside risk.

TeamRankings football choices:
Choice of survivor pool | Pick ’em Pool Picks | NFL betting choices

Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (in London)

Point spread: -3.5
Choose popularity: 62%
Category: Favorite Value

This is a week with high added value. The Dolphins performed poorly in their two games against the NFL’s top teams, being knocked down by Buffalo and Tampa Bay. But Jacksonville isn’t, uh, in the same class.

The Dolphins could also pick up IR’s QB Tua Tagovailoa (ribs) for this week’s game, giving them a boost the public might overlook.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers

Point spread: -1.0
Choose popularity: 33%
Category: Unpopular throw

Finally, we will end with the Vikings, who almost lost 10 points ahead of the Lions last week. The Vikings are Carolina’s little favorite, but they’re relatively unpopular, with around twice as many entries currently picking the Panthers.

Get all of our week 6 NFL picks

TeamRankings Football Pick ’em Picks is the only product that gives you the choices, tools and analysis you need to maximize your advantage in NFL Selection Pools. It uses algorithms to identify the calculated risks that give you the best chance of winning your straight-up, points spread, or trust pool.

From a strategic point of view, game theory is a fundamental aspect of winning pick ’em pools. In short, to win a pick ’em pool, you have to score points that your opponents lack. This means you need to identify unpopular choices that are worth a calculated bet and avoid fad choices that are not worth the risk. Our product does all of this math for you, 71% of our subscribers claim to have won a prize in soccer selection contests.

If you would like to learn more about pick ’em football pool strategy, you can also check out our free strategy articles for winning pick’ em football pools.

FREE TRIAL: Survivor Pick Them, TeamRankings Betting Choices

Good luck in your pools this week!