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NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks Week 2: Expert Advice on Favorites, Upsets to Consider in Trust Pools, Office Pools

The opening week of the season saw a number of big upheavals that took their toll on the NFL selection pools. Will the favorites bounce back or will the underdogs reign again? TeamRankings number math experts are here to help you with your Week 2 NFL picks, offering strategy tips and tricks to help you dominate your football pools.

TeamRankings is the only site that offers personalized picks that maximize your advantage in NFL selection pools. Check out TeamRankings football selections, NFL survivor selections and NFL betting selections. For a limited time, you can also get a free trial of all of their premium soccer picks.

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Week 2 NFL Pick ’em Pool Picks: Tips, Strategy

How We Identify NFL Week 2 Value Picks

Week 2 presents a unique opportunity. We have a week of results and it is easy for the public to overreact in the first game. This, in turn, offers some value if you can stay steady and row against the tide.

To win an NFL Choice Pool, you need to score points that your opponents are missing out on. This means you need to identify unpopular choices that might be worth a calculated bet, and avoid trendy choices that aren’t worth the risk. This approach to selection is one of the main reasons why, since 2014, an average of 71% of our subscribers say they have won a prize in a football selection competition.

This article was written on Tuesday, but if the win odds and pick popularity numbers hold up, the teams below all come up with compelling risk versus reward strategies to differentiate your Week 2 picks from your pool opponents. . Just be aware that we’re not necessarily saying you should do all of those choices. In particular, certain thwarted choices may be unnecessarily risky for your pool, even though they are technically undervalued. (If you want our match-by-match pick recommendations for all of your specific pools, use our Football Pick ’em Picks product.)

To note: The winning odds and estimated popularity data below may change between publish time and kick off time. If you want the latest numbers, our product is updated several times a day.

MORE TEAMRANKINGS: Survivor Pool Strategy | Choose them strategy

Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans

Point spread: -12.5

Popularity: 92%

Category: Heavy crush at a reasonable price

The Browns are big favorites this week against Houston, and we usually wouldn’t point out such a big favorite. However, this week’s dynamics dictate that Cleveland offers some relative value, at least compared to the usual pricing for favorites of this size.

Houston’s upset victory over Jacksonville apparently created some public confidence. Just as many pick ’em players choose an upset Texans in the game as they choose other underdogs who have a much better chance of winning (we’ll highlight them below).

In comparison, Tampa Bay, also the 12.5-point favorite, has a 98% People’s Choice popularity, so draft entries are four times more likely to choose a Texans upset versus a Falcons upset. Four other favorites are chosen by more than 90 percent of the audience, and three of them are favored by less than six points.

This is not a game for making an upset choice, and in trust pools you should be able to gain differentiation value by making Cleveland your top trust pick.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Point spread: -3.0

Popularity: 42%

Category: Favorite at the price of an outsider

The Chargers are a three-point favorite against Dallas, but the public are in the “love-hate” phase of their love-hate relationship with the Cowboys after seeing them come seconds after beating Tampa Bay in the season opener at the USA. prime time. Meanwhile, few outside Washington and Los Angeles saw the Chargers win a low scoring affair in Sunday morning’s time slot.

There are four other teams favored by three or 3.5 points this week that have an audience’s Choice popularity of 75% or more, so the Chargers are getting a huge overreaction discount here.

WEEK 2 LINEUPS DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel | Yahoo

Chicago Bears vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Point spread: -3.0

Popularity: 49%

Category: Favorite at the cost of a token

Here is yet another game where audiences are likely overreacting to a prime-time gaming outcome. The Bears lost by 20 points in the opening game of Sunday Night Football. The Bengals won in overtime against Minnesota after taking a big lead.

The public is picking the Bengals a bit more often right now so you can get a bit of value just by sticking with the favorite.

PPR WEEK 2 RANKS:
quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | tight end | D / ST | Kicker

Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals

Point spread: +4.5

Popularity: 8%

Category: Value bet in weekly prize pools

Watch the kids – another huge public reaction to a Week 1 result. The Cardinals are a 4.5 point favorite against Minnesota, but the public pick the Cardinals as often as they pick the biggest favorite Cleveland. of week 2. Just last week, we highlighted the Cardinals as a value-driven bet when only 20 percent of the public chose them to beat the Titans. Now the fickle audience has completely turned around.

Choosing the Vikings is a bit too risky in pools all season, but if you take part in a weekly contest it’s a fantastic opportunity to differentiate, as only eight percent of the public chooses an upheaval that is not expected but quite possible. We are projecting Minnesota with a 37% probability of winning.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Los Angeles Rams

Point spread: +4.0

Popularity: ten%

Category: Value bet in weekly prize pools

Finally, we have a team that wowed audiences in a prime time spot in week 1 and gets a huge chunk of choice. The Rams are chosen by 90 percent of pick ’em entrances as the road favorite in Indianapolis. The Colts just lost to Seattle.

Much like Minnesota, Indianapolis offers upset play for good value in weekly competitions, with just 10 percent of the public choosing an upset that has about a 40 percent chance of happening.

TeamRankings football choices:
Choice of survivor pool | Pick ’em Pool Picks | NFL betting choices

Get all of our week 2 NFL picks

Our Football Pick ’em Picks is the only product that gives you the choices, tools and content you need to maximize your advantage in NFL selection pools. It uses algorithms to identify the calculated risks that give you the best chance of winning your bonus, point spread, or trust pool based on characteristics like your pool size, rules, and price structure.

Over the past seven years, our subscribers have reported winning football pool prizes throughout the season more than three times as often as expected. If you want to learn more, you can also check out our free strategy articles for winning pick ’em football pools.

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Good luck in your pools this week!



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