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MLB odds and picks today

The Diamondbacks and Guardians are set for their first meeting of the season tonight, and The Action Network’s Jules Posner is here to give his best bet (video above).

Cleveland will send Cal Quantrill to the hill on Monday, while Arizona will counter with Zach Davies, who just came off the injured list.

For Posner, he thinks the throwing game favors hosts Cleveland.

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Prediction Diamondbacks vs Guardians

“So far this season at home, Cal Quantrill has a 3.19 ERA,” Posner said.

That number clashes with a 4.40 FIP and a 4.25 xFIP for Quantrill, who doesn’t tend to hit a lot of hitters. However, Posner considers Quantrill’s numbers to be strong, even given his low K count.

Cal Quantrill
Cal Quantrill
Getty Images

On the other hand, D’Backs starting pitcher Davies has struggled on the outside this season. Coming into Monday’s game, the right-hander has a 4.26 ERA away against a 4.44 FIP and a 4.30 xFIP.

Additionally, Arizona’s offense has also faltered in recent away games. In the past few weeks, they’re down to a 43 wRC+ squad against right-handed pitchers on the outside.

Bet on sports?

Finally, Posner thinks the difference in motivation for this game – Cleveland still has the division to play for, while Arizona has virtually nothing left to motivate them – gives the hosts one final advantage.

For all these reasons, support the Moneyline Guardians tonight in Cleveland.

Diamondbacks pick vs. Guardians

Guardians -160 (BetMGM)

New York Post

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