Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott expects the next half -decennia to see more code generated by AI – but that does not mean that human beings will be cut off from the programming process.
“95% will be generated by AI,” said Scott when he asked him about the code in the next five years in an episode of the 20VC Podcast. “Very little will be – line by line – will be a human manual code.”
“Now that does not mean that AI does the software engineering work, and therefore I think that the most important and interesting part of paternity will always be entirely human,” he added.
Scott said he had been scheduling for 41 years – long enough to watch the industry have a similar change when he was a child in the 80s.
“In the transition from assembly language programming to high-level language programming, as there were old pets that would say:” you are not a real programmer if you do not know how to write in assembly language, and this is the only real coding and the way of doing things in the right way, “he said.” Person talks more about it. “
What is happening with artificial intelligence, in Scott’s opinion, is not too different. Scott said that “the best programmers” will adapt to the incorporation of AI into their routines.
“We have quickly gone skeptical developers as to these tools to like:” You will get it from my cold dying fingers.
Although Scott thinks that AI is able to reduce the coding entrance barrier, he said it would always be necessary to use programmers with a solid understanding of niche problems.
“Consider this as a kind of elevation of everyone’s level. So that makes everyone a programmer and you no longer have to go get someone to make a website for you,” said Scott. “But if you try to solve the word the most difficult calculation problems in the world, I think you will need computer scientists, and they will use these incredibly good tools.”
What AI is likely to do, he added, is to cut the man in the community with regard to the simpler and more personal needs. Instead of waiting for a developer to anticipate your need for a particular tool, he said, you could ideally use AI programs to build it yourself.
“You have teams of people whose work is to anticipate a lot of very granular needs in a narrow space-and then they will go write a lot of code, then find how to hang this code with a user experience, and they hope they have done a fairly good job,” he said.
“It will change. As if you will no longer need it,” he added.
Although the responsibilities allocated to engineers may be different, Scott does not believe that the role itself will disappear. And a bit like the CEO of Y Combinator, Garry Tan, which expects the Coding assisted by AI to help a team of 10 engineers to do the work of 100, Scott thinks that AI should ideally allow small groups to carry out large -scale projects.
“I hope it will become easier for small teams to go doing great things,” said Scott. “The reason is important is that I think the small teams are just faster than the big teams. You can do a lot with 10 very super and super motivated engineers with really powerful tools.”
businessinsider
