Cnn
–
Punxsutawney Phil, the famous marmot meteorological observer, was removed from its heat from burrow this morning and saw its shadow, predicting six weeks more winter.
Each February 2, the day of the marmot, the members of the PunxSutawney Groundhog Club make the pilgrimage of the Gobbler button – The official house of Phil. Legend has it, if it sees its shadow, six weeks of an additional winter are on the way. If he does not do so, a start of spring arrives.
In reality, winter will end on the spring equinox, also known as Vernal Equinox, March 20 at 5:01 a.m., regardless of Sunday prediction. But the weather conditions do not always follow the calendar – and neither did Phil.
Phil has pronosticulum since the late 1800s, but its recent forecasts would have a better history if it had just overthrew a medal: it has only been right of around 35% of the time since 2005, according to the data analyzed by the Noaa .
Phil’s call for the start of spring last year has come true. February 2024 was the hotter third ever warmer for the lower 48. Mars also found himself much warmer than normal, according to NOAA data.
There are more coherent experts to turn when Phil vacillates.
National Weather Service Climate Predication Center meteorologists produce temperature and precipitation forecasts in the United States on time scales ranging from a week to more than a year.
Their prospects for February provide for temperatures above average, or a potential early spring, parts of the rocks across the south and a large part of the East. Temperatures below the Northwest Pacific average in certain parts of the Midwest could be an prolonged winter. These regional trends are expected to continue until the beginning of spring, the center forecasts until April.
Brutal cold cycles have struck half of the United States all winter.
It was the coldest presidential inauguration in 40 years and the cold unusually far in the south inaugurated a historic snowstorm for the Gulf coast. He was one of the 10 coldest winters for dozens of cities east of the Mississippi river, according to the Southeast Regional Climate Center.
But the West remained hot this winter after the hottest fall ever recorded for the lower 48. Phoenix, Las Vegas and San Francisco are only a few cities that know one of their 10 richest winters.
The hottest winters are not a stroke of luck, even when they are punctuated by cold coldly. Winter has become the fastest season of warming for almost 75% of the United States, temperatures are increasing worldwide in global warming due to pollution of fossil fuel.
Thus, Phil’s prediction of six more winter weeks is a bad bet in a warming world.
