The Detroit Lions will begin their quest to reach their first-ever Super Bowl when they take on the New Washington Commanders in a 2025 NFL Divisional Round game on Saturday. Washington is coming off a last-second 23-20 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Wild Card round, while Detroit had the only NFC bye. The Commanders (12-5), second in the NFC East, have won five in a row and are 5-3 on the road. The Lions (15-2), who won the NFC North for the second straight season, are 7-2 on their home field in 2024-25.
Kickoff from Ford Field in Detroit is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. The Lions are a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Lions vs. Commanders odds from the SportsLine consensus, up two from the open, while the over/under in total points scored is 55.5, up six from the opening line. Detroit is a -508 favorite (risk $508 to win $100) after opening at -300, while Washington is a +381 underdog. Before you make any Lions vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model, as well as everything else SportsLine has to help you crush your NFL picks.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, costs well over $7,000 for $100 players among the NFL’s highest-rated picks since its inception. The model enters the divisional round of the 2025 NFL Playoffs on a 31-15 hot betting streak on the highest-rated NFL picks this year, a staggering 67% win rate. Longer term, he’s 211-143 on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and 65-36 on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps could have seen solid returns.
In addition to model picks for this game, you can get AI props, Vegas expert picks, DFS Optimizer lineups, and everything else you need to crush your NFL Wild Card Weekend bets. Go to SportsLine now to see it all.
Now the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Lions and just locked in his NFL picks and NFL predictions. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model’s choices. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the Lions vs. Commanders:
Quarterback Jared Goff, who is in the MVP conversation, completed 390 of 539 passes (72.4%) for 4,629 yards and 37 touchdowns with 12 interceptions and a rating of 111.8. He threw for 300 or more yards in six games.
Goff’s top target in the passing game is veteran receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown. In 17 games, he totaled 115 receptions for 1,263 yards (11.0 average) and 12 touchdowns with 14 explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long one of 66. He totaled 412 yards after the catch with 72 conversions in first try. See which side to choose here.
Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is on fire this season. In 17 regular season games, Daniels completed 69% of his passes for 3,568 yards and 25 touchdowns with nine interceptions and a rating of 100.1. He was also Washington’s leading rusher, carrying 148 times for 891 yards (6.0 average) and six touchdowns.
Veteran receiver Terry McLaurin is the Commanders’ top pass catcher. In 17 regular season games, he caught 82 passes for 1,096 yards (13.4 average) and 13 touchdowns. He had 12 explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 86, with 292 yards after the catch and 56 first-down conversions. See which side to choose here.
The model exceeds the total, calling a total of 59 points, and it also indicates that one side of the gap is banked in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get NFL Model picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Commanders against Lions on Saturday, and which side of the spread wins well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread Commanders vs. Lions to jump to, all from the Advanced Model that costs well over $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out, and don’t forget to unlock the accessories AI, expert Vegas picks, DFS Optimizer lineups and all the other tools to crush your picks at SportsLine.
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