The image of Brittany spared by the coronavirus seems far away. To date, the incidence rate in the region stands at 140 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. This is the first time that the Breton curve has come close so closely and so sustainably to the national incidence rate, which amounts to 190 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. “The incidence has quadrupled in one month, we warn ARS Brittany. This represents 14,000 new contaminations. “Under these conditions, Brittany should be placed on a state of” enhanced health alert “before this weekend.
Ille-et-Vilaine is the Breton department most affected by the start of the fifth wave, with an incidence of 165 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. The progression of new cases is + 42% over the last seven days.
Concern also in Finistère. If the department has a lower incidence rate (128 cases per 100,000), contaminations flare up in a single week, + 60%. Morbihan has 152 cases per 100,000 (+ 36%) and Côtes-d’Armor has 100 cases per 100,000 (+ 36%).
The models of the Institut Pasteur do not suggest a better future. “We know that the incidence rate will continue to deteriorate for at least four weeks, probably until the end of the year,” indicates the ARS. In Brittany, as in France, the fifth wave is about to exceed the epidemic peak of the fourth wave on the “incidence rate” indicator.
For the moment, on the covid-19 front, most Breton hospital services are holding out. The arrival of patients is certainly increasing – in one month, the region has gone from 18 patients in intensive care to 46 – but hospital capacities are not saturated. 30% of the beds are occupied.
But the situation could deteriorate quickly. “There is always a lag of two to three weeks between the increase in contamination and the increase in hospital admissions,” recalls the Regional Health Agency. We therefore expect to have an increase in hospitalizations for covid-19 in the coming weeks. “
To cope, the ARS announces that it has already increased the number of places open in intensive care to 200, compared to the usual 180. The Rennes University Hospital, which is currently the establishment most affected by the fifth wave, has activated its white plan. This procedure should make it possible to mobilize more material and logistical resources, as well as nursing staff, to respond to the increase in activity. “It is not impossible that there will be, in the coming days, other hospitals which will launch their white plan”, announces the ARS.
In an attempt to counter the acceleration of the epidemic in the region, the Regional Health Agency is mainly focusing on vaccination and the recall campaign. In Brittany, nearly 50% of people eligible for the third dose received it in mid-November.
To accelerate the movement and in anticipation of the enlargement of eligible people, which should be announced by Olivier Véran on Thursday, the Agency asked the centers to increase their capacity to vaccinate. “Either by opening one more day per week, or by adding vaccination lines in the centers. “For the time being, there are still no plans to open new centers, the Agency considering the” network of 45 functional centers “. “But we do not refrain from opening them on the margins,” she adds.
Doctors, pharmacists and nurses will also be called upon, in the coming days, to vaccinate even more in the city. To date, 40% of vaccines are injected in cities, and not in centers.
The health situation continues to deteriorate in Breton schools. 344 classes are currently closed in the region. That’s 140 more, in less than a week. And the incidence rate among 0-9 year olds is exploding: it stands at 192 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, a rate as high as at the national level.
To stop the bleeding, self-tests will be distributed to sixth grade students who cannot benefit from the vaccination because of their age. They will now be asked to self-test at home, once a week, until the Christmas holidays.
Anticipating possible government announcements, the prefects of Ille-et-Vilaine and Morbihan have already announced that wearing a mask is once again compulsory in several establishments open to the public (cinema, games room, etc.), even with a health pass. Advertising campaigns, recalling the importance of barrier gestures, will also be broadcast on the social networks of local health authorities.