Weather 4Warn – After seeing temperature swings throughout December, with the temperature well above average for Christmas, we’ve been keeping an eye on winter weather changes as we look ahead to the start of 2024.
The Climate Prediction Center has released its precipitation and temperature forecasts for January 2024:
Temperature: above average – The Climate Prediction Center forecasts an above-average temperature trend for January 2024, from the western United States to the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes and the northeastern United States, including the state of Michigan.
Precipitation: below average – The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a below-average precipitation trend for January 2024 over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, with the highest chance of below-average precipitation from Indianapolis to Cincinnati, but the region Metro Detroit and southeast Michigan are also included in this trend. . An above-average precipitation trend is forecast for the southwest United States and the west coast of the United States.
Southeast Michigan continues to face an El Nino winter, which continues to be the primary driver of the atmospheric circulation pattern. This means there would be an active jet stream across the southern United States that would draw storms away from the area. Most often, El Nino winters are drier and warmer than normal for the region.
Even if the chances are in favor of an overall milder and drier winter, this does not exclude cold spells and/or periods of heavy snowfall which remain possible like any other winter.
The averages for Detroit for the month of January:
High average: 32.3°
Low average: 19.2°
Average monthly precipitation: 2.23″
Average monthly snowfall: 14.0″
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