Here is how we are acting, according to the people who develop it

AGA will arrive “in the next five to ten years”, Demis Hassabis – the CEO of Google Deepmind and a recently hit Nobel Prize winner – said in the April 20 episode of 60 minutes. By 2030, “we will have a system that really understands everything that surrounds you in a very nuanced and deep way and in a way integrated into your daily life,” he added.

The show’s host, Scott Pelley, then asked the question: did an IA engine already asked an unforeseen question? To which Hassabis replied: “Not so far that I lived. I think it is the idea of ​​what is still lacking in these systems. They still cannot go beyond a new new question. Or a new new conjecture. Or propose a new hypothesis that has not been thought before.”

AI systems have no curiosity yet, and they lack imagination and intuition, he said: “In the coming at five to ten years, I think we will have systems capable not only to solve an important problem or conjecture in science, but also in the first place.”

The CEO of Openai believes that we are already making major progress towards AG. On the Podcast y combinator, he said that one of the things he was most excited in 2025 is the arrival of AG.

The former manager of the preparation at AGA in Openai thinks that we will see a form of act manifesting himself in the coming years. Brundage, who left Openai in August, said that in the coming years, the AI ​​industry would develop “systems that can essentially do everything that a person can do remotely on a computer”. This includes the exploitation of the mouse and the keyboard or even resembling a “human in a video chat”.

Dario Amodei, CEO of the competitor of Openai, Anthropic, believes that we will see a form of AGI by 2026. In a test he published on the website of the company in October, he described act, that he prefers to call “AI powerful”, like a flasstable, a null node cooperative of the multimodal physical location. In short, he thinks it will come back to “a country of geniuses in a data center”.

The godfather Geoffrey Hinton believes that we could see the AI ​​which is smarter than humans in as little than five years.

In an article on X last year, he wrote: “I predict now 5 to 20 years but without too much confidence. We live in very uncertain weather.”

The main researcher of AI Andrew NG is a little more conservative in his estimates on AGE. He described it as a form of intelligence that can make “all the intellectual tasks that a human can”, whether to drive a car, drive an airplane or write a doctorate. thesis.

And he is not convinced that we will get there soon. “I hope we will get there from our lives, but I’m not sure,” he said, adding that people should be skeptical of companies that claim that IGI is imminent.

Richard Socher, an old Salesforce executive which is now the CEO of the search engine powered by AI, you.com, says that there are two ways to define AG. “There is a simple economy, which represents 80% of jobs will be automated with AI, then we can call it AG,” he previously told Business Insider. He predicted that we will get there in three to five years.

When you expand the definition of AGE to a form of intelligence that can “learn like humans” and “visually the same motor intelligence, and visual intelligence, linguistic intelligence and logical intelligence as some of the most logical people”, then chronology could go from 10 years to over 200 years, he said.

The chief scientist of Meta AI, Yann Lecun, does not believe that we will see it soon.

During the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos in January, Lecun said that “does not belong” and that he “will take years, even decades” before he materializes.

And Lecun says that we should not expect what happens in one event.

In an episode of Lex Fridman’s podcast in March, he said: “The idea which, in a way, is popularized by science fiction and Hollywood which, you know, someone will discover the secret, the secret of act, or humanity Ai, or friend, no matter how you simply want. It will be progressive progress.”