Didn’t you have warm and fuzzy feelings about this game?
You listened to the Giants and Commanders express how their 20-20 draw made them feel like they lost. Neither team was happy with it.
Well, someone liked what happened, which is why the NFL adapted the Week 15 rematch at FedEx Field to “Sunday Night Football,” exposing a national television audience to what’s advertised as a playoff game.
The odds are high that the Giants will lose to the Eagles on Sunday and drop to 7-5-1. Commanders will definitely be 7-5-1 the next time they take to the field, as it is the week off. Chances are either the Giants or the Commanders, but not both, will qualify for the playoffs. So essentially the first draw for the Giants in 25 years wasn’t helpful, as far as their position in the NFC goes, but the second meeting with the Commanders was always going to be the one that mattered the most.
“I’m not sure,” safety Julian Love said Monday when asked how the tie affects the playoff pursuit. “Usually I’m quite analytical and understand a bit of it all, but I’m not quite sure about the full breakdown of the last five games. I just know there are wins we need. .
there is no doubt.
According to FiveThirtyEight, the Giants currently have a 50% chance of making the playoffs. If they are able to upset the Eagles 11-1, that percentage jumps to 76%. If they lose to the Eagles, the percentage only drops to 41%. If the Giants lose to the Eagles and then beat the Commanders in the rematch in two weeks, the Giants’ chance of making the playoffs is 62%.
If you want to go crazy here, if the Giants beat the Eagles and Commanders in the next two games, their odds of making the playoffs swell to 99%. If they lose to the Eagles and Commanders, their odds drop to 19%.
The tie was bad but not terrible. The Giants have another blow on the commanders and so they are in control of this situation. The tie was detrimental to the Giants in regards to their placement in the NFC alongside the Seahawks. Currently, the Giants are the No. 6 seed and the Seahawks (7-5) are No. 7. The Giants lost to Seattle 27-13 so they don’t own the tiebreaker in head-to-head with the Seahawks. Of course, the tie makes it unlikely that tiebreakers will come into play, unless there is another tie in the conference involving teams battling for playoff spots. The Giants also lost to the Lions (5-7), but coach Dan Campbell’s side still have plenty of wins to earn to get into the table.
According to FiveThirtyEight, the Seahawks have a 79% chance of making the playoffs. Commanders are at 69% and Lions at 8%.
Complicating the next five weeks is that four of the next five games are against teams either virtually assured of a playoff berth (Eagles twice and Vikings) or against a team in a dogfight to enter (Commanders ). The only game against a non-competitor is in Week 17, when the Colts play at MetLife Stadium. Judging by how the Colts crumbled in their 54-19 tank work against the Cowboys – it’s not easy to give up 33 points in the fourth quarter, but the Colts did it – it should be the only sweet touch for the Giants.
The fact that the Giants still have two games left with the Eagles, the NFL’s best-record team, is why the Giants have the second toughest remaining schedule in the league, behind the Bears. The only possible break for the Giants is if their Week 18 game in Philadelphia means nothing to the Eagles – it’s likely they’ll have clinched the NFC’s No. 1 seed before then – and the coach Nick Sirianni decides to rest several of his key players for the playoffs.
“You just have to prepare to play next week and the next team,” coach Brian Daboll said. “For us, it’s the best team in the NFL right now; a failure. They lost to Washington. They have a list of stars. I think [Philadelphia Eagles general manager] howie [Roseman] did a great job gathering a bunch of talent into this squad. [Quarterback] Jalen [Hurts] phenomenal play. These receivers, they are exceptional, O line, defensive line, corners. They have an all-star cast.
“So we’ll be focusing on Philadelphia, again against a team that pretty much crosses everyone. And I think that’s a lot to focus on.
New York Post