The fall of the “red wall” in the face of the triumphant conservatives has become the dominant story of the 2019 elections. But this time, things are very different: most seats simply no longer exist in their previous form following a review of constituency boundaries, and Labor looks likely to make gains across the board.
POLITICO looked at the most recent precinct-level research from YouGov, conducted in December 2023 and January 2024, to bring you the real battlegrounds to watch.
The analysis highlights the scale of the challenge facing the Conservatives, who will be under pressure across a very wide range of different seat types, some in places where they have never deployed significant resources before, while defending other seats they held. have little hope of hanging on.