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Fantasy Football Rankings Week 17: Sleepers, Projections, Starts, Seats | Demarcus Robinson, Marvin Mims and more

The fantasy football playoffs are in full swing and no Christmas present would be better than another victory. Let’s get into the Week 17 fantasy football rankings, sleepers, game previews and have some fun with the best (and worst) things of Christmas, spreading the cheer.

#CheckTheLink-age
Week 17 waivers | SOS Rankings for Week 17 (THU)
Fantasy Football 101 (weather, lineups, trades, more)
All About Football Podcast


WEEK 17 FANTASY FOOTBALL PREVIEWS

NOTE: ALL statistics are SINCE WEEK 10 – unless otherwise stated. This is because it’s good to look at recent performance versus a year’s performance with defenses, etc., as in-season adjustments can change things.

Acronyms

  • RBTouch% — RB Touches Percentage — percentage of the team’s total RB touches that the player had
  • TmTGT% — Team Target Percentage — percentage of the team’s total goals going to this player
  • YPRR — Yards per Route Run — rather valuable indicator
  • APA — Adjust allowed points (link to tables above)

Jets at Browns, TNF

  • Breece Hall averages 2.0 more YPC when the Jets are up by a touchdown than when they’re down 7+, and the Browns are 7.0 point favorites.
  • Since Joe Flacco took over, he is ninth in FPPG (19.6), tied for first with 10 touchdown passes and the Browns have won their last three games with Flacco averaging 351 passing yards .

Lions at Cowboys, Saturday, 8:15 p.m.

  • The Cowboys have allowed three rushing and two receiving touchdowns in their last four games (SEA, PHI, BUF, MIA) after just five and one, respectively, in their first 11.
  • The Broncos are the only team since the Lions’ bye not to have a rating of at least 11.9 against them, something nine receivers have done in those other six games.

Patriots at Bills, 1 p.m.

  • If Rhamondre Stevenson returns, he is a mid-RB2 with upside and risk, while Ezekiel Elliott would be an RB3 with Stevenson and RB2 without.
  • If Hunter Henry plays, he’s been Bailey Zappe’s most consistent option, with Demario Douglas behind him — although only Henry has found the end zone (three touchdowns) aside from Mike Gesicki last week.

Falcons among the Bears, 1 p.m.

  • If D’Onta Foreman plays, the backfield is a mess to avoid. If he remains out (personal), Khalil Herbert is a high risk/reward RB2/3.
  • Drake London has a TmTGT% of 7.1 with Taylor Heinicke compared to 24.5 with Desmond Ridder.

Raiders at Colts, 1 p.m.

  • If Josh Jacobs is back, he’s a Top 20 running back, and if not, Zamir White essentially takes his place.
  • If Zack Moss plays, Jonathan Taylor is still an RB1, but Moss is a deep league prospect for a touchdown and/or a handful of touches in the RB4 group.

Rams at Giants, 1 p.m.

  • Demarcus Robinson has caught a touchdown in four straight games. Only eight wideouts can say that this year.
  • Since Christian McCaffrey (19.5 in Week 2) and Joe Mixon (13.0 in Week 3), only four running backs have scored in double figures against the Rams.

Cardinals at Eagles, 1 p.m.

  • Whether Marquise Brown returns or not, Greg Dortch is a decent bet in the WR4/5 group.
  • The Cardinals have given up eight RB games of 100+ rushing yards – the next closest is the Broncos with five.

Saints at Buccaneers, 1 p.m.

  • Chris Olave has the eight most expected receiving yards (1,162) with 1,041 actual, and the Buccaneers have allowed 2,916 this year (the most).
  • Baker Mayfield is only five games under 16 points this year, and the Saints are no longer a worrying matchup.

49ers at Commanders, 1 p.m.

  • No Brock Purdy would add risk to the 49ers players, but it would also bring Sam Darnold into play as a high QB2 with plenty of his own risk.
  • In his limited action, Jacoby Brissett is playing freely with 9.7 YD/ATT and 12.4 YD/Comp, both career highs (7.3 and 11.8 previous highs).

Panthers at Jaguars, 1 p.m.

  • Zay Jones is probably out, but if he returns, consider him a boom/bust WR4. Without Jones, I wouldn’t risk the Jaguars receiving options outside of Calvin Ridley and Evan Engram.
  • Chuba Hubbard has scored in double figures in each of his last five games with a minimum of 17 touches – ranking eighth in RBTouch% and 13th in FPPG.

Dauphins aux Corbeaux, 1 p.m.

  • De’Von Achane has 20.6 RBTouch% and 6.0 TmTGT% with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle on the field, compared to 27.6% and 8.7% when either is off the field.
  • Since taking over from Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely is TE5 in FPPG (11.4) even though he is only 13th among tight ends in TmTGT% (18.1).

Titans vs. Texans, 1 p.m.

  • Assuming CJ Stroud is back, he’s back in the QB1 group with Nico Collins, a locked-down WR2, and Noah Brown in play in most leagues.
  • Strange stat: Derrick Henry has 10 of 11 rushing touchdowns when the Titans are losing or up by less than a touchdown, compared to only one when they lead by more than 7 points.

Steelers at Seahawks, 4 p.m.

  • Over the last two games, Kenneth Walker has 83.0 RBTouch%, with Zach Charbonnet having just six carries and one reception on three targets.
  • Week 16 was George Pickens’ first 100-yard game since Week 7, and the Seahawks have only let CeeDee Lamb, Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel surpass 90 yards since Week 3.

Chargers at Broncos, 4 p.m.

  • If Courtland Sutton can’t go, Jerry Jeudy is a good WR3, but Marvin Mims becomes an interesting Hail Mary, which could include Brandon Johnson in deep leagues.
  • Austin Ekeler was back in the lead with 81.8 RBTouch%, and the Broncos only have three wins where their scoring margin was +8 or greater.

Bengals at Chiefs, 4 p.m.

  • With Isiah Pacheco out, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is a must-start, but if Pacheco is shut out, he’s an RB1 with CEH a roll of the RB3/4 dice.
  • There were only three running backs (Kyren Williams in Week 3, James Cook in Week 9, and Zack Moss in Week 14) who failed to score more than 12 points against the Bengals, and Moss was called back for a touchdown.

Packers at Vikings, SNF

  • The Packers situation is an absolute disaster. If Christian Watson is back, he is the highest rated option with Jayden Reed next, who could be the top pick without Watson.
  • The Packers have allowed six double-digit scores in the last three games (NYG, TB, CAR) and are averaging 20.6 QB points in the last six.

Have fun with leaderboards!

Pat Mayo – a friend for a few years after I started – and I have been talking about rank for years. This season he created some incredible thumbnails for his YouTube show. I was originally going to rank them in my typical “Fun with Ranks” way, but then I had a hard time deciding which one was best (Darkwing, Suits, TMNT, etc.). So, it’s your turn to rank! It’s true… here are the 14 vignettes and a survey so that your opinion wins!

MAYO RANKING GRAPHICS

VOTE HERE!

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And if you ever want to see the greatness of Pat and I together, talking (and laughing) about the rankings, check it out.


WEEK 17 FANTASY FOOTBALL SCREENINGS

🚨 HEADS UP 🚨 These may differ from my ranking, and my ranks are the order I would start players in outside of additional context, such as “Need highest upside potential, even if risky.” » Also, based on 4-point TD for QB, 6-point rest and Half-PPR

Download link added Thursday


WEEK 17 FANTASY FOOTBALL RANKINGS

🚨 HEADS UP 🚨

  • Unfortunately, there is still no perfect widget. I know many see this on your phone, but 1) use the leaderboard widget on a PC/laptop/etc. if possible or 2) open it in your phone’s browser, especially for Android users, for scrolling to work properly.
  • ECR = “Expert” consensus ranking (which is not updated consistently by everyone, so take with caution).
  • Updated regularly, so check queue locking.

(Photo credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports)

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