Democrats are increasingly concerned that black voter turnout will plummet in the upcoming midterm elections as polls show lukewarm enthusiasm for the ruling party, according to Politico.
“If black turnout were to drop this year, it would seriously complicate — if not eviscerate — Democrats’ path to victory in hotly contested gubernatorial and Senate races across the country, including Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan and Wisconsin,” Holly Otterbein and Elena Schneider wrote.
A Politico-Morning Consult poll released last week found that only 25% of registered black voters were “extremely excited” about voting in the upcoming election, compared to 35% of Hispanic voters and 37% of white voters.
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Because black Americans generally vote for Democrats at higher rates than any other racial group, Democratic strategists interviewed by Politico were particularly concerned about the lack of enthusiasm among young black people and black men across all age groups.
Strategists revealed that a lack of enthusiasm stems from frustration among black voters who feel little has changed since Joe Biden was elected president when it comes to the economy, voting rights, reform of criminal justice and armed violence.
Cyrus Garrett, the African-American political director for the Democratic National Committee, told Politico that black Democrats fear the party has relied too heavily on abortion rights to attract voters. She said such a focus is “deaf” to black men, whose concerns lie elsewhere.
Other strategists claimed that focusing on threats to democracy would increase black enthusiasm in elections across the country.
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President of Democratic polling firm Impact Research Molly Murphy put that theory to the test in Pennsylvania, with a poll that included an oversample of black voters wary of voting. She found that posts that highlighted former President Trump’s attempt to void the 2020 election, and that voting Republican would signal to Trump that he could ignore the rule of law, registered better with demographics.
A 73-page autopsy of the 2020 election compiled by three pro-democracy groups — the Third Way, a centrist think tank; the Collectif PAC, which supports black candidates; and the Latino Victory Fund, which promotes Hispanic candidates – highlights the fact that many House Democrats and some senators underperformed at the polls because they failed to match the support of the current President Biden with voters of color, who despised then-President Trump but also had reservations about the Democratic Party.
The analysis – which was first reported by The New York Times – highlights specific electoral setbacks with Spanish-speaking voters in Florida and Texas, black voters in North Carolina and Asian American voters in California. , as she argues that Democrats failed to deliver a cohesive central message on the economy last year and “relyed too heavily on ‘anti-Trump’ rhetoric.”
The autopsy added that unless the party does a better job of fending off GOP attacks comparing Democrats to Socialists, it could see further erosion of support among minority voters in the future.
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Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.