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Carl Heastie wants proof of how penalties curb crime. How’s this?

Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie is demanding proof that tougher penalties deter crime. Seriously.

Faced with public outrage (including our scorn) over his initial remarks on the issue, Heastie doubled down on Tuesday, insisting: “I don’t believe that in the history of increased sentencing, this ever been the reason crime went down” – and “I wish someone would give me an example of when this happened.”

Um, just one? We don’t even sweat.

As Manhattan Institute crime expert Rafael Mangual documents in The Post, there is a tonne compelling evidence that “harsh criminal sanctions can and do deter crime.”

He cites, for example, a study showing that California’s three-strikes law reduced the number of felony arrests by 20 percent among people with two strikes.

Another study found that including incarceration among the penalties imposed on court fine violators made payment more likely.

Not to mention the indisputable fact that anyone who is locked up any longer cannot repeat during this time.

THE probability Being arrested and incarcerated is also critical: When Mayors David Dinkins and Rudy Giuliani increased the number of city police officers by nearly 30 percent — from 31,000 to 40,000 — major crimes plunged, from 430,460 in 1993 to 162,064 in 2001.

Murders in those years fell from 1,927 to 649 – a 66% drop – and continued to decline, to 292 in 2017, a huge number. 87% from the 1990 peak of 2,262.

Broken windows policing, that is, the crackdown on minor crimes, also contributed.

You simply can’t make a stronger case for consequences than that.

Sadly, crime began to rise again after the city and state began weakening law enforcement, handcuffing police officers and prosecutors, and softening consequences for criminals.

When Mayor Bill de Blasio and the state opened prison doors during the COVID pandemic and cashless bail took effect in 2020, murders skyrocketed — reaching 488 in 2021, an increase of 67% compared to just four years earlier.

Retail thefts (and the risk of violence against workers) are now off the charts: up more than 6.5%, to 14,910 this year alone, over the same period in 2023.

Hence the desire to strengthen penalties against violent shoplifters to protect retail workers.

“How can crime be deterred, except through punishment? » fumed Coalition to Save Our Supermarkets leader Nelson Eusebio in Heastie’s denial post: “It’s open season for retail workers in the city. »

We understand: the speaker has the feeling that he has pandering to deranged progressives by blocking measures to protect bodega workers, etc.

But he certainly looks foolish claiming he’s never seen proof that the policies he opposes actually work.

New York Post

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