Business

BoJ Noguchi: essential for the BoJ to maintain an ultra-accommodative monetary policy

Asahi Noguchi, member of the board of directors of the Bank of Japan:

  • It is essential that the BoJ maintains an ultra-easy monetary policy and seeks the balance between labor supply and demand

  • Japan sees unprecedented wage hikes thanks to spring wage negotiations
  • It is essential to continue maintaining an appropriate balance between labor supply and demand through the continuation of its accommodative monetary policy to achieve the 2% price target.
  • Japan must achieve a positive wage inflation cycle as quickly as possible and for this to happen, service prices must continue to rise.
  • Labor-management negotiations last spring triggered a wave of unprecedented wage increases.
  • Another key factor is that small manufacturers are able to seamlessly pass on rising labor costs to prices.
  • If rising wages translate into rising prices, this will translate into rising prices for services and this trend is clear.
  • The focus now is on the pace at which the policy rate will be adjusted and at what level it will eventually stabilize.

  • The long-term neutral interest rate will most likely be lower than in other countries
  • In the future, it would be desirable to start reducing the BoJ’s balance sheet

  • The measures decided by the BOJ in March are consistent with a future reduction in the BOJ’s balance sheet.
  • I disagree with the BOJ’s March decision because I thought it would be appropriate to keep JGB purchases at negative rates.

  • The rise in service prices is not yet mainly due to rising wages

  • Japanese economy: moderate recovery trend, but recent growth stagnation

more soon

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

cnbctv18-forexlive

Back to top button