Bitcoin is negotiated at “40% discount” while Spot BTC ETF buys up $ 3 billion in a week

The main dishes to remember:

  • The data suggests that Bitcoin is currently negotiating at a 40%discount.

  • More than 36,000 bitcoin were removed from Coinbase and Binance on April 25.

  • The 4,2024 Bitcoin fractal scheme could propel prices over $ 100,000 in April.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently negotiated at a 40% discount compared to its intrinsic value, according to the founder of Capriole Investments, Charles Edwards.

In a recent article on X, Edwards stressed that since the reduction by half of April 2024, which has reduced block rewards to 3.125 BTC, the energy value of Bitcoin – an estimate based on mining costs and energy consumption – includes $ 130,000.

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Bitcoin’s intrinsic value as a function of energy consumption and market price. Source: x.com

Recent cryptocurrency data said that more than 8,756 BTC ($ 830 million) was removed from Coinbase on April 24. Negative Coinbase Netflows could indicate institutional purchases, or purchases related to ETFs reflecting the underlying demand.

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Bitcoin Exchange Netflows on Coinbase. Source: cryptocurrency

This development aligns with Bitcoin ETF inputs. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas suggests that the institutions have made a “Bitcoin Bender” of $ 3 billion in recent days.

Binance also witnessed an exchange outlets of 27,750 BTC on April 25. The founder of Alphractal, Joao Wedson, noted that “it is the third biggest outing of Bitcoin in the history of exchange”. Although large outings and a positive price action suggest upward tail winds, Wedon said they did not automatically signify a continuous rally. The analyst said,

“In 2021, the massive outings did not prevent the discharge launched by the ban on Chinese cryptography (April-May). On the other hand, continuous outings over several days, as during the collapse of the FTX, reported a background and a recovery.”

Related: Bitcoin ETF on $ 3 billion “Bender”

Can this fractal bitcoin push BTC above $ 100,000 in April?

The weekly Bitcoin performance marks its highest performance in 2025 and its largest increase since November 2024. In addition to similar yields, the BTC price also reflects identical price action.

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Bitcoin 1 day. Source: Cointelegraph / TradingView

As illustrated in the graphic for a day, Bitcoin is consolidated at a higher beach after its rupture, reflecting its behavior of the fourth quarter, 2024 (surrounded). After an increase of 13% between November 5 and 9, BTC posted another 15% increase in November 10-11. The escape also took place during the weekend.

Likewise, BTC prices increased by 11% between April 21 to 25. The relative resistance index (RSI) also presenting a similar purchase pressure, a jump of 7 to 10% in the coming days could relate to the BTC greater than $ 100,000.

Although fractal models can be repeated, they are not perfectly reliable. Unlike the fourth quarter, when Bitcoin entered the price discovery and rallied without resistance, the level of resistance of current general costs at $ 96,100 could hinder a break.

Related: Bitcoin increases the heights of 7 weeks, the analyst doubts that the $ 100,000 chances are bounced

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and negotiation movement involves risks and readers should conduct their own research when they make a decision.