- BTC could increase to more than $ 100,000 in 2025 and double to + $ 200,000 in 2026, per analysts.
- Price models and prediction sites are aligned with these projections despite current pricing misfortunes.
Lyn Alden renowned macro-analyst projected This Bitcoin (BTC) could reach the most $ 100,000 in 2025 and double in value in a year. This suggested a potential price target of $ 200,000 in 2026.
The modest push of Alden above $ 100,000 was based on current pricing wars.
However, she noted that BTC could rally harder and higher if a massive liquidity unlocking occurs, especially if the Fed intervenes in the American bond markets.
More space for BTC growth?
In addition, Alden expected greater BTC growth, citing the metric of the MVRV evaluation. The metric had not yet flashed the higher signals of the multi -year cycle greater than 3.
The recent local summit and the peak of the beginning of 2024 were overheated levels around the MVRV score of 2, but did not suggest high cycle.
Source: cryptocurrency
His prospects were similar to those of Bernstein analysts, who argued that BTC could press $ 200,000 before the end of 2025.
Key price models like the Quantile Bitcoin model have somewhat validated these projections.
Source: X
For its part, Dr. Sina, a co-founder of 21st Capital, expected the BTC exceeding between $ 200,000 and $ 300,000, if the trends in the past historical cycle are repeated. Quoting the Quantile BTC model, he said,
“Even if we do not arrive at the 95th quantile this cycle, it is a 3x from here.”
The model uses past data to choose probability zones for the BTC price, with a common 95th quantile with cycle peaks.
In simple terms, the 3x of Dr. Sina meant that he expected BTC to use this cycle $ 250,000. It was also aligned with the recent Charles Hoskinson prediction.
On the Polymarket prediction site, the largest volume (1.3 million dollars) was parked to a price target of $ 110,000 with a chance of 52% to reach this level.
Source: Polymarket
The following higher volumes were $ 200,000 and $ 150,000, with lower ratings of 13% and 22%. In simple terms, Polymarket reiterated the projections of Dr. Sina and Dr. Sina.
However, optional traders expected BTC to exceed $ 100,000 in the second half of 2025. But for the objectives of $ 150,000 and $ 250,000, the ratings varied from 10% to 15% at the end of 2025 or at the start of 2026.
Source: Enchanting
In other words, the market was confident that BTC would recover $ 100,000 this year, but was slightly optimistic for levels of $ 150,000 and $ 200,000 in 2026.
However, the market must survive the mid-term price uncertainty so that such prospects are possible.
