In 2020, President Joe Biden’s victory was buoyed by strong support among Black and Latino voters, as well as among younger voters.
It was this concentration of support in key states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, that gave Biden the edge that year.
Former President Donald Trump is leading Biden in all of the states mentioned above, as well as North Carolina. Among key states in the WSJ survey, Biden leads only in Wisconsin.
Biden’s support is weighed down by his lower numbers among voters who strongly favored him four years ago.
In 2020, Black voters favored Biden over Trump by 92% to 8%, according to a Pew Research Center analysis. But in the latest Wall Street Journal survey, support for Biden among black voters stood at 68%.
Biden won Latino voters 59% to 38% in 2020, according to Pew. But the Journal’s most recent survey shows Biden has 48% support among Latino voters in swing states.
The new survey shows Biden registering 50% support among young voters in swing states, who have particularly expressed disapproval of the president’s handling of the war between Israel and Hamas.
In 2020, young voters, typically made up of Americans ages 18 to 29, supported Biden over Trump 59% to 35%, according to Pew.
The investigation comes as Biden and Trump have ramped up their campaign agendas ahead of what is likely shaping up to be a close election, with Biden aiming to tout the economic progress made under his administration while Trump seeks to portray himself as a better manager of issues such as the economy and immigration.
Seven months before the elections, the speeches of the two candidates could easily change.
But with most grassroots conservatives strongly supporting Trump, Biden’s challenge is unique in that he will need to generate more enthusiasm among voters who might already be inclined to vote for him and who could potentially vote for a third-party candidate or not participate in elections. a key issue like the conflict in Gaza.
Democratic strategist James Carville, who was one of the architects of Bill Clinton’s 1992 presidential victory, recently told MSNBC that Biden could win in November, but warned that the president would not be able to rebuild his alliance of 2020 this time.
In making his argument, Carville pointed to the Democratic Party’s weakened position among black and Latino men as a troubling sign for the party.
“I think the polls have gotten a little better,” Carville said of the president’s position after last month’s State of the Union address. “But we are not going to replicate the 2020 coalition.”
businessinsider
