There are few national teams in the world playing as well as Argentina, who are heading towards what appears to be a safe place for the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar. That’s the challenge Peru face on Thursday as they head to Buenos Aires hoping to come away with at least one point to continue dreaming of joining Lionel Messi and Argentina in Qatar.
Peru (3-6-2, 11 points) are four points behind fifth in the South American qualifying table, which would ensure progression to a series of World Cup matches against a side from another region . A narrow 1-0 loss in Bolivia on Sunday dealt a serious blow to the Peruvians’ qualifying hopes and a trip to Argentina’s Estadio Monumental will prove even more intimidating.
Argentina, reigning Copa America champion (6-0-4, 22 points) is undefeated in 24 consecutive games since July 2019. In front of his supporters at the Estadio Monumental, the Argentines offered another spectacle during a 3-0 victory over Uruguay. during their last outing on Sunday. Things didn’t go smoothly in this game, and Argentina could easily have fallen behind without some stellar saves from goalkeeper Emiliano “Dibu” Martinez. But the story is in his favor against Peru.
PLUS: South America standings, results and schedule
The all-time series is decidedly in Argentina’s favor (33-5-14) – Peru have not beaten Argentina in any competition since the 1997 Copa America and the Peruvians have never won a qualifying for Buenos Aires. But they can at least aim to replicate their performance against Argentina in the 2017 qualifiers in Buenos Aires when they came away with a 0-0 draw.
How to watch Argentina vs Peru
- Dated: Thursday October 14
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Diffusion: fuboTV
Argentina vs Peru and all World Cup qualifying matches in South America can be streamed exclusively on fuboTV in English and Spanish.
WATCH: South America’s World Cup qualifiers on fuboTV (live stream)
Matches are also available pay-per-view through cable and satellite TV providers.
Argentina vs Peru: Line-up
Head coach Lionel Scaloni has a full squad available for selection and, as usual with his rosters, he has several interchangeable pieces – such is the competitive level of Argentina’s roster. He usually rotates his right-backs (Gonzalo Montiel and Nahuel Molina) and left-backs (Marcos Acuna and Nicolas Tagliafico), his central midfielders (Guido Rodriguez, Leandro Paredes and Exequiel Palacios) and his wing positions (Nico Gonzalez) or Angel Di Maria).
MORE: Even Messi couldn’t believe his shot turned into a goal
Reports say the only injury issue is left behind Acuna and whether he will be fully recovered from a muscle injury that kept him from securing the victory over Uruguay. At right-back Molina could take a break after starting the last two matches and could make way for Sevilla’s Montiel.
Starting eleven projected by Argentina (4-3-3, from left to right): 23-Emiliano Martinez-GK – 3-Nicolas Tagliafico, 19-Nicolas Otamendi, 13-Cristian Romero, 4-Gonzalo Montiel – 20-Giovani Lo Celso, 18-Guido Rodriguez, 7-Rodrigo De Paul – 15-Nicolas Gonzalez, 22 -Lautaro Martinez, 10-Lionel Messi
Submarines planned in Argentina: 12-Juan Musso-GK, 1-Franco Armani-GK, 6-German Pezzella, 2-Facundo Medina, 2-Lucas Martinez Quarta, Marcos Acuna, 21-Nahuel Molina, 5-Leandro Paredes, 14-Exequiel Palacios, 22- Lucas Alario, Julian Alvarez, 17-Alejandro ‘Papu’ Gomez, Angel Correa, 16-Joaquin Correa, 11-Angel Di Maria
Peru will be deprived of a number of starting caliber players: Paolo Guerrero, Renato Tapia, Edison Flores, Andre Carrillo and Luis Advincula, who have joined the roster with muscle tension. Peruvian media report that head coach Ricardo Gareca was working with the following squad ahead of the match:
Peru’s projected starting XI (4-2-3-1, left to right): 1-Pedro Gallese-GK – 6-Miguel Trauco, 22-Alexander Callens, 5-Carlos Zambrano, 4-Jhilmar Lora – 19-Yoshimar Yotun, 23-Pedro Aquino – 11-Raziel Garcia, 7-Sergio Pena, 8-Christian Cueva – 9-Gianluca Lapadula
Submarines projected in Peru: 21-Jose Carvallo-GK, 12-Carlos Caceda-GK, 3-Marcos Lopez, 2-Luis Abram, Oslimg Mora, 15-Christian Ramos, 13-Wilder Cartagena, 16-Christofer Gonzales, 10-Jefferson Farfan, 16-Gabriel Costa, 18-Santiago Ormeno, Horacio Calcaterra, Alex Valera
Argentina vs Peru: odds and predictions
Odds courtesy of DraftKings
To take: Under 2.75 Asian goals in total (+105)
Especially in light of their absences, Peru will likely aim to get out of town with a draw. It would require a dictated conservative strategy to interrupt the flow of the game. You don’t want to be in a track and field competition against Argentina’s transition game.
For an example of what you can expect, take Peru’s road game in Brazil in September: 29 combined fouls, nine yellow cards in total and just five shots on target in total. In the October 2017 goalless draw in Buenos Aires, also with Gareca as their coach, Peru took just two shots.
The Under 2.5 (+125) goal tally has a shot in this game, but the Asian tally is a safer game. In Peru’s last nine qualifiers, only two have scored three or more goals. Two of Argentina’s five home qualifiers have passed. And when these two teams played in Peru in November 2020, it was a 2-0 victory for Argentina.
The Asian Under 2.75 total pays off half the stake if it is exactly a three-goal game.
Prediction: Argentina 2, Peru 0
- Moneyline: Argentina -575 / Draw +650 / Peru +1600
- Disseminate: Argentina -2.5 (+145) / Peru +2.5 (-190)
- O / U 2.5 total goals: Over -155 / Under +125
- The two teams score: Yes +180 / No -240