A shake-up in the Oscar race, a repeat of the Emmys

The two big winners at last night’s Golden Globes, those from Netflix Emilie Pérez and A24’s epic three-and-a-half-hour drama The Brutalistwere also big winners in terms of Oscar momentum. The former won the Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical Globe as well as three other wins from a record ten nominations. The latter won the all-important Best Film – Drama Globe award and two other major awards, including Best Drama Actor for Adrien Brody and Best Director for Brady Corbet.

The first major test of strength in the two months leading up to the March 2 Oscars, the results from last night’s Globes were impressive and may indicate that either Emilie Pérez Or The Brutalist will be the ultimate winner of the Oscar for best film. That’s on the condition that they can ride this horse for another eight weeks.

You felt this feeling during the always lively after-party that Netflix organized at Spago, where morale was high during Émilie Pérez, which the streamer wisely picked up after its Cannes premiere and which now could have its best shot yet for the Best Picture Oscar. But there is still a long way to go.

If you’re nominated for Best Picture Conclave who only took the script, Wicked who won for film achievement and box office, The bottom which won Best Actress in a Drama for Demi Moore, A real pain which won Best Supporting Actor for Kieran Culkin, or Challengers who won original music, take heart. It’s not over. Since 2010, with not one but two In the Best Picture category, the Golden Globes have failed to match the ultimate winner of the Best Picture Oscar seven times. Add to that the Globe Best Picture nominees this year who were completely obscured as A Complete Unknown, Dune: Part Two, Nickel Boys, September 5 and Cannes Palme d’Or Anora, this represents a 50% chance that a film other that Emilie Pérez Or The Brutalist will land in the final winners circle on March 2 at the Dolby.

Since 2010, the list of Best Picture Oscar winners who did not do the same at the Globes included that year’s The king’s speech2014 Birdman, 2015 bring to light, 2017 The shape of water, 2019 Parasite, 2021 CODA, and 2022 Everything everywhere at the same time.

In other words, the race for the Oscar which just started in earnest last night has not END last night, but it’s just starting to gain momentum as 2024 seems particularly a year of uncertainty. This week we will receive major nominations for the DGA, PGA, SAG and WGA guilds. Voting will continue through Friday for next Sunday’s big awards bash, the Critics Choice Awards, and various critics’ groups will hold their banquets and, most importantly, voting for Oscar nominations will begin Wednesday and continue until ‘to January 12.

And so what TO DO Tonight’s Golden Globes results tell us where the Oscar winds might be blowing, Or how could they help them explode? First, the reinvigorated Globes clearly captured the industry’s attention, whether in person or at home. This creates momentum, and there is no doubt That of Emilia Pérez very French and very charming, Jacques Audiard continues to win admirers even though he does not speak a word of English in his acceptance speeches. And Brutalist Director Brady Corbet’s gentle scolding of the industry for not immediately embarking on a three-and-a-half-hour epic with an intermission on architecture, among other topics, was cleverly capped off by a microphone drop closer to “have a good night”. Certainly he did. Will this have some influence at a key moment for Oscar voters, and will these films with a European sensibility somehow resonate with the industry? Time will tell, and there is no doubt in this year that is still wide open. momentum could – or could not – change quickly.

Without a doubt, in my book, the two wins that will most directly benefit from their Globes wins are those of the two leading actresses. In a highly competitive category, Demi Moore’s triumph as Best Actress – Musical or Comedy in the wildly inventive horror comedy, The substance, struck a chord with a performance that will certainly register with other actors in an industry where looks can be everything. Her eloquent and pointed acceptance, highlighting her long, unawarded career and the fact that she was once considered a mere “popcorn” actress, probably earned her one of those very valuable Academy Award nominations for Best Actress in a category that is full of real contenders. The same can be said for Brazilian actress Fernanda Torres who scored a surprise win (even though I predicted it) for Walter Salles’ penetrating and political Brazilian drama, I’m still here. At the very least, it will compel voters to witness this tremendous performance before voting this week. Moore and Torres are the ones to watch right now with real momentum, and for that they can thank the Globes.

Other notable victories include Latvia’s magical match To flow for Best Animated Feature Film, continuing its series of pioneering awards in the category and winning – among other things – number one film of the year, Inside Out 2 and Dreamwork’s reviewed with enthusiasm The wild robot. The bad news for these last two films might be that they were released the same year as To flow which is a film, if watched, that will likely lead to an Oscar as a true underdog, or should I say, subcat. Disney and Universal have their work cut out for them to avoid this outcome. As I was leaving the Hilton, I ran into Alan Bergman from Disney who told me that he didn’t understand how a film like Inside Out 2 with its huge box office success, it couldn’t have won. Dreamworks is probably wondering the same thing for its very famous film. This is clearly a record year for animation.

It also seems to me that the Globes might also report an unremarkable result in the supporting categories for both Culkin and That of Emilia Pérez Zoe Saldana. Just a hunch. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross’ thrilling score to win the Globe for Challengers It also appears that there are no serious opponents on her road to victory after this first victory at the Globes.

On the TV side, there’s simply no other way to say this: Golden Globes voters watched the Emmys and that’s all she wrote. Shogun with four victories, Baby reindeer with two, and Tips for two, Jodie Foster, and yet another Globe victory for The bear Jeremy Allen White (who didn’t even bother to show up this time) simply repeated what they did in September at the Emmys. In recent years, the Globes have often been the spectacle leading the way to television. Here they unusually aligned themselves with what the Television Academy had already done. Only Colin Farrell’s actor in a limited series has won for The Penguin broke the mold of already Emmy-winning shows.

As for the Globes themselves, I haven’t seen them at home on TV, so I don’t know how that played, but it’s still fun to attend and I have to say, after the pandemic, after the strikes, after the scandals, this one felt like Hollywood had forgiven and was ready to party once once again in the Globes’ trusty home of the packed Beverly. Hilton Ballroom. The energy on the mat was palpable, if not the same in the room which only occasionally came alive, like when Moore won. Also, the way the presenters were presented, with their backs to most of the audience and trying to read the teleprompters, awkwardly in many cases I just felt disconnected and a strange choice that shouldn’t be repeated. On the bright side, Nikki Glaser was a sunny and funny host who did her job. She should be back.

There is no rest now, not for a single moment, even for the victors. Next week will probably be the most important of this long season that is heating up and ready to rumble. Wait.