But Billy Melo Araujo, professor of law at Queen’s Belfast University, thinks that this scenario is unlikely.
“If the United States decides to apply prices on the EU, the effect on Northern Ireland should be limited because goods from Northern Ireland count as British goods, unless we talk about European goods which have been transferred to Northern Ireland and then exported to the United States, or goods assembled in Northern Ireland which contain many EU inputs.
“Ideal location of the soil”
Sam Lowe, Flint Global’s partner and commercial expert, warned that the hybrid status of Northern Ireland could also be operated by Irish exporters hoping to avoid American prices.
“Due to the high risk of bypass, (like) Irish products shipped (in the United States) via Northern Ireland, I would expect a more in-depth examination of exports from Northern Ireland, especially if there is a significant increase and stricter rules of origin,” he said.
But an increase in goods that moves via Northern Ireland is not necessarily such a bad thing, a senior Stormont official told Politico, anonymously granted to talking about a sensitive question.
“The protocol (Northern Ireland) and the Windsor framework give Northern Ireland a potential negotiation and investment advantage, even with regard to transatlantic rates,” said the official.
Politices
