The 2025 NFL Playoffs feature the No. 1 seed Kansas City Chiefs and No. 4 seed Houston Texans in the Divisional Round on Saturday. The Chiefs went 15-2 in the regular season, earning first place and a first-round bye. Meanwhile, the Texans defeated the Los Angeles Chargers, 32-12, during Wild Card Weekend. In Week 16, these teams faced off, with Kansas City winning 27-19. The winner advances to the AFC Championship Game to face the Buffalo Bills or Baltimore Ravens. Texas running back Joe Mixon will reportedly play due to an ankle injury.
Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Kansas City odds. Texans from Consensus SportsLine, while the over/under on total points scored is 41.5. The Chiefs are -503 favorites on the money line (risk $503 to win $100), while the Texans are +379 underdogs (risk $100 to win $379). Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Texans picks, bets or predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein has to say, given his mastery of picks involving the Chiefs.
A former senior editor at Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines an extensive network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. He finished tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) at the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, with a 53-34-3 ATS record. Hartstein’s weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL Best Bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. He also an incredible 30-14 (+1302) in his last match. 44 NFL picks on the Chiefs. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, Hartstein has focused on the Chiefs versus the Texans. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the Chiefs vs. Texans:
- Spread between the Chiefs and the Texans: Kansas City -8.5
- Chiefs vs. Texans plus/minus: 41.5 points
- Chiefs money line vs. Texans: Kansas City -503, Houston +379
- HOU: Texans are 8-8-2 ATS this season
- KC: The Chiefs are 8-9 ATS this season
- Chiefs vs. Texans Picks: See the picks on SportsLine
- Streaming Chiefs vs. Texans: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Texans can cover
Quarterback CJ Stroud has two playoff victories in the first two years of his career. This season, he has totaled 3,727 passing yards and 20 passing touchdowns. In the win over the Chargers, Stroud went 22 of 33 for 282 yards and a touchdown. He also added 42 yards rushing.
Receiver Nico Collins is the primary threat in the Texans’ passing attack, winning on all three levels of the field. In the Wild Card victory, Collins had seven catches for 122 yards and a score. Additionally, running back Joe Mixon (questionable) has been productive. Mixon had 1,016 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns this season. In his last outing, the 28-year-old totaled 106 rushing yards and a touchdown. Find out who to support on SportsLine.
Why the Chiefs can cover
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has guided the Chiefs to the playoffs for seven straight years. In 18 career playoff games, Mahomes has completed 76% of his throws for 5,135 passing yards, 41 passing touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is also 12-2 at Arrowhead Stadium as a starter in the NFL playoffs.
Tight end Travis Kelce gives Kansas City another reliable playoff contributor. Kelce is No. 1 in playoff history in receptions (165) and second in receiving yards (1,903) and touchdowns (19). Receiver Xavier Worthy provides the Chiefs with a quick weapon with the ball in his hands. In 2024, Worthy has 59 catches for 638 yards and six touchdowns. The Texas product has topped 40 receiving yards in seven straight games. Find out who to support on SportsLine.
How to make choices between the Chiefs and Texans
Hartstein analyzed the Chiefs vs. Texans from every possible angle. He’s leaning on the point total, he’s also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping to one side of the spread. Head over to SportsLine to see what it’s all about and find out which team to support.
Who wins the Chiefs against the Texans on Saturday in the 2025 NFL playoffs, and what critical X-factor causes one side of the spread to be hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Texans vs. Chiefs split you should jump to, all from the expert who’s 30-14 on picks involving the Chiefs, and find out.
