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2024 Kentucky Derby Tips, Preview and Odds

The 2024 Kentucky Derby sets off for its 150th renewal on Saturday, May 4 at Churchill Downs Racetrack in Louisville Kentucky.

The action begins on Friday with the Oaks, for two days of thrilling, graded competition in the United States with huge prizes up for grabs and a guarantee of drama and entertainment.

The field heads into the first turn during the 149th running of the Kentucky Derby


The field heads into the first turn during the 149th running of the Kentucky DerbyCredit: Stacy Revere/Getty Images

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The Derby is made up of three-year-old horses who have quickly shown their abilities in major races around the world, and many of them have already collected hundreds of thousands of dollars in prize money.

Only the best also seem to manage to emerge victorious from this prestigious race, although they are mainly from the United States, there is a strong international contingent on the card on both days.

Secretariat is perhaps the most recognizable name to win the Kentucky Derby, having won the 1973 American Triple Crown: The Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes, becoming an even more established name when the film Secretariat was released. in 2010.

This shows how important and famous the race is in the United States and has long attracted more and more attention abroad.

The race is a signature racing event in the United States, beginning two weeks before horse racing begins, with air shows, fireworks, hot air balloon races and more!

2024 Kentucky Derby Odds

The Kentucky Derby is dominated by horses trained in the United States, with only three international winners in its history.

This year, Japan’s Forever Young is the best chance to have an international winner around 8 in the market, while TO Password also represents the country’s other chance for the feature film race in the United States.

Most read in horse racing

  • Sierra Leone 5/2
  • Ferocity 7/2
  • Forever young 8/1
  • Catching Freedom 12/1
  • Fortress 14/1
  • Just a touch 16/1
  • Honor to Mary 20/1
  • Resilience 20/1
  • National product 25/1
  • Dornoch 25/1
  • Epic ride 25/1
  • Just 25/1 steel
  • Mystik Dan 25/1
  • Company man 25/1
  • Ghost Trail 25/1
  • To Password 33/1
  • Catalytic 40/1
  • Saratoga West 50/1
  • Grand Mo The First 66/1
  • Mugatu 80/1

Tips for the 2024 Kentucky Derby

  • 11:00 p.m.: Kentucky Oaks – Where is my ring 10/1 & The Rose of Leslie 5/1
  • 11:00 p.m.: Kentucky Derby – Ferocity 7/2 & Forever young 8/1

Where’s my ring and Leslie’s rose

The Oaks starts on Friday May 3 at 11pm UK time with 19 potential runners set to compete in the Level 1 competition.

The Brad Cox-trained Rateowned by Godolphin in the familiar blue silks, is the main competitor having won well last time against Our pretty wife.

But it was by no means a comfortable victory, with both jockeys bustling to get their fillies to the finish first.

This gives the underdog, Our Pretty Woman, a great chance to reverse form with big odds after posting decent speed numbers.

Where is my ring showed good progress to win the Grade 3 Gazelle Stakes after a clear second place behind Kinza at Santa Anita in the Grade 3 Santa Ysabel.

She clearly managed to win comfortably only to lose her first title and this defeat behind Kinza was mainly because she had no chance in the race as the winner had become clear.

It would be interesting to see her have a rematch, but regardless, this form puts her up there and she took the turn so well to take the lead, it really gives her a great chance here either way.

For a shorter odds bet, one that may not even need to be backed each way, but should still do so, is Leslie’s Rose.

The filly previously placed as a Grade 2 before winning the Grade 1 Ahsland last time out at Keeneland, beating Just FYI, who re-emerges as a rival in this contest.

Trained by Todd Pletcher, she has a great chance of adding to her victories for the prestigious race after winning it in 2021 with Malathaat.

Fierceness & Forever Young in every sense

DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - MARCH 30: Forever Young under Ryusei Sakai wins the UAE Derby 9.5f Group 2 at Meydan Racecourse on March 30, 2024 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.  (Photo by Neville Hopwood/Getty Images)


DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES – MARCH 30: Forever Young under Ryusei Sakai wins the UAE Derby 9.5f Group 2 at Meydan Racecourse on March 30, 2024 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by Neville Hopwood/Getty Images)

Irish jockey Ben Curtis looks set to have a huge chance to make a name for himself in the United States after a bold move this season.

He put the mount back Honor Marie which is around 20/1 on the market with one week to go.

NOW Forever Young has a good chance of winning this title, but he must put an end to the long reign of the American winners.

The colt has already won four out of four, collecting £1.65 million in winnings, the majority coming from his victory in the Saudi Derby in Riyadh in February, with odds.

But it was a wider success in the Group 2 UAE Derby next time out at Meydan, beating Auto Bahn by two lengths, also as odds-on favourite.

The three-year-old had a strong weight advantage in this area, carrying 10 pounds less than three rivals.

He could be a bit of a nomadic winner with two Derby wins in two countries already, could he make it three?

The colt has strong odds either way while you can get a big prize to bet on for a straight win. Ferocity.

He has already won the Florida Derby and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and once again has Todd Pletcher in the colors of the Repole stable to boost his chances.

They know how to win a Derby and with John Velazquez on board, he’s ready to pull it all off after winning by over 13 lengths at Gulfstream last time.

Running Tips from Tom Lunn Profit + Loss

  • P+L October-April: +141.39pts
  • P+L from July 2023: +214.76pts

All ratings correct at time of writing

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